Idioma:Español
Arthur Fils v Cameron Norrie
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Arthur Fils (Local)
Predicción 67.01%1.49momio equitativo
EV -2.84%
Ventaja -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.43%67.22%66.90%69.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.78%70.42%68.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Cameron Norrie (Visitante)
Predicción 32.99%3.03momio equitativo
EV +4.59%
Ventaja +1.45%
Kelly +2.12%
Crecimiento +0.097%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.33%32.78%33.10%34.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.652.892.883.1737.74%34.63%34.72%31.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Arthur Fils (Local): 67.01%; Cameron Norrie (Visitante): 32.99%. Para Cameron Norrie (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.03. 4 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.17, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.59%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +4.59%E +1.45%K +2.12%G +0.097% | 4.0% | 2026-08-09 01:37 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.86%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025% | 4.2% | 2026-08-08 21:34 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 17:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV +0.304%E +0.100%K +0.149%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-09 01:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.356%E -0.118%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-08-09 01:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 00:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-09 01:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -1.35%E -0.450%K -0.676%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 00:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-09 00:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 17:46 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 15:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-09 01:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-09 00:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.63%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.62%E -2.34%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-09 01:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:48 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-09 01:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.56%E -4.74%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 0.8% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34% | 3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66% | 0.9% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-08-09 01:55 |