Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils v Cameron Norrie

2026-08-08 16:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Arthur Fils (Local)

Predicción 65.77%1.52momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -1.80%
Kelly -5.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.73%65.75%65.79%67.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.381.431.431.4872.46%69.92%69.93%67.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Cameron Norrie (Visitante)

Predicción 34.23%2.92momio equitativo
EV -0.733%
Ventaja -0.253%
Kelly -0.386%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.24%34.25%34.21%36.27%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.552.732.752.9039.22%36.58%36.36%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Arthur Fils (Local): 65.77%; Cameron Norrie (Visitante): 34.23%. Para Cameron Norrie (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.92. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.90, con un valor esperado de -0.733%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PlayUp🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.66%E -1.80%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-07 07:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.98%E -2.72%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.98%E -2.72%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:31
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -3.98%E -2.72%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 06:35
TAB🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -3.98%E -2.72%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-07 05:50
1xBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.28%EV -4.63%E -3.20%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.72%EV -2.44%E -0.858%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 07:30
DraftKings🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.63%E -3.20%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.16%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:00
Bovada🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.63%E -3.20%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.16%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-07 06:55
GTbets🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.63%E -3.20%K -10.30%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -4.84%E -1.74%K -2.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 05:45
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.16%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:46
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.16%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 05:46
Virgin Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:36
LiveScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:41
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:40
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 05:51
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:30
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-07 06:35
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.29%E -3.67%K -12.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-07 06:35
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -0.733%E -0.253%K -0.386%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-07 05:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 07:24
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:36
Casumo🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
Grosvenor🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:41
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:41
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 06:26
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.95%E -4.16%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-07 05:46
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.61%E -4.65%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 05:45
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.61%E -4.65%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -5.87%E -2.13%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-07 05:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.61%E -4.65%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 05:40
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.61%E -4.65%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 05:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.61%E -4.65%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-07 05:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.61%E -4.65%K -15.73%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -9.29%E -3.51%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-07 07:05
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.92%E -5.66%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.42%E -0.492%K -0.754%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 05:50
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.92%E -5.66%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.16%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-07 05:51
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.92%E -5.66%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 05:50
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -7.92%E -5.66%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.58%E -2.81%K -4.46%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-07 05:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.92%E -5.66%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 05:45
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -7.92%E -5.66%K -19.81%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -11.00%E -4.23%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-07 05:45
SportsBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -9.24%E -6.69%K -24.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -0.733%E -0.253%K -0.386%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 05:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.24%E -6.69%K -24.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -12.71%E -4.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 05:46
Winamax (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.89%EV -9.24%E -6.69%K -24.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.11%EV -12.71%E -4.99%K -8.20%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-07 05:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-08-07 07:05
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 64.96%2.54I 39.37%NM 35.04%12.4%2026-08-07 05:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.04%2.44I 40.98%NM 35.96%14.0%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.04%2.44I 40.98%NM 35.96%14.0%2026-08-07 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 50.00%1.13I 88.50%NM 50.00%77.0%2026-08-07 07:40