Model domyślnyŚrednia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Arthur Fils v Cameron Norrie

Początek: 2026-08-09 01:57 UTC

Wynik końcowy: Arthur Fils 2–0 Cameron Norrie

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (21 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana)

Arthur Fils (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 67.01%1.49kurs godziwy
EV -2.84%
Przewaga -1.96%
Kelly -6.32%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.45

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
65.43%67.22%66.90%69.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.351.411.421.4574.07%70.78%70.42%68.97%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Cameron Norrie (Goście)

Prognoza 32.99%3.03kurs godziwy
EV +4.59%
Przewaga +1.45%
Kelly +2.12%
Wzrost +0.097%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.17

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
30.33%32.78%33.10%34.57%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
2.652.892.883.1737.74%34.63%34.72%31.55%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Przy ostatnich kursach przed rozpoczęciem model Średnia międzykwartylowa (Lista Wyselekcjonowana) szacował rynek Zwycięzca spotkania następująco: Arthur Fils (Gospodarze): 67.01%; Cameron Norrie (Goście): 32.99%. Dla wyniku Cameron Norrie (Goście) oszacowanie to odpowiadało uczciwemu kursowi dziesiętnemu 3.03. 4 bukmacherów oferowało kursy zamknięcia powyżej tego poziomu; najlepszy wynosił 3.17, co odpowiadało dodatniej wartości oczekiwanej +4.59%.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Betclic (FR)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.67%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.33%EV +4.59%E +1.45%K +2.12%G +0.097%4.0%2026-08-09 01:37
Unibet (FR)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -6.86%E -4.94%K -17.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025%4.2%2026-08-08 21:34
BetMGM🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV +2.28%E +0.737%K +1.09%G +0.025%5.8%2026-08-07 17:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV +0.304%E +0.100%K +0.149%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-09 01:50
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -0.356%E -0.118%K -0.176%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 01:45
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.57%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.43%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-09 01:54
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 01:45
ReBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:44
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:55
TAB🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.87%E -6.52%K -24.65%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-09 01:49
Coral🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 17:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -9.54%E -7.07%K -27.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -1.02%E -0.338%K -0.508%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-07 17:45
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -1.35%E -0.450%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 00:30
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-09 00:55
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.67%E -0.903%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 01:44
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 01:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -3.33%E -1.13%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-09 01:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV -8.20%E -5.99%K -22.17%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -3.66%E -1.25%K -1.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-09 01:44
Winamax (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Betway🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.84%E -1.96%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 01:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:45
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 17:46
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.53%E -5.46%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.31%E -1.49%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-07 15:49
Sky Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-09 01:40
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 01:45
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 01:55
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.97%E -1.73%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-09 00:45
SportsBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -5.63%E -1.97%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 01:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 01:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 01:55
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.52%E -3.92%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.96%E -2.09%K -3.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 01:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.28%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 33.72%EV -6.62%E -2.34%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 01:54
Dabble (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 01:55
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -4.18%E -2.92%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Fanatics🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 01:54
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 01:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:55
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:48
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:48
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.61%E -2.72%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-09 01:40
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
William Hill🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.51%E -2.44%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 01:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.85%E -3.42%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 01:55
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -9.26%E -3.37%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 01:55
Fliff🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -6.19%E -4.42%K -15.48%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -12.56%E -4.74%K -7.61%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-09 01:55
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-09 01:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 01:55
Matchbook◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 01:55
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%0.8%2026-08-09 01:55
Novig◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.34%3.13I 31.95%NM 31.66%0.9%2026-08-09 01:55
Smarkets◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-08-09 01:55