Language:English
Alexander Zverev v Tallon Griekspoor
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexander Zverev (Local)
Prediction 83.32%1.20fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -2.15%
Kelly -14.78%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.27%83.27%85.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.091.131.131.1791.74%88.54%88.50%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)
Prediction 16.68%6.00fair odd
EV +8.41%
Edge +1.29%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.128%
assuming max odds 6.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.36%16.73%16.73%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.815.806.5020.00%17.21%17.24%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexander Zverev (Local): 83.32%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 16.68%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.00. 28 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.41%.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.41%E +1.29%K +1.53%G +0.128% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.18%E -8.42%K -101.99%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +8.41%E +1.29%K +1.53%G +0.128% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +4.24%E +0.678%K +0.807%G +0.034% | 3.0% | 2026-08-05 18:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.65%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 6.23I 16.05%NM 15.35%EV +3.90%E +0.627%K +0.746%G +0.029% | 4.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.66%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 6.18I 16.18%NM 15.34%EV +3.07%E +0.497%K +0.593%G +0.018% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.35%E -7.59%K -83.46%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +1.74%E +0.284%K +0.340%G +0.006% | 7.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.03%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.97%EV +0.901%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 3.5% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.901%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 15:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-05 17:15 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 17:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -1.60%E -0.271%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -1.60%E -0.271%K -0.327%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.93%E -0.504%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.93%E -0.504%K -0.609%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.27%E -0.563%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -4.94%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.92%EV -3.35%E -2.88%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.63I 17.76%NM 17.08%EV -6.10%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-05 19:13 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.60%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.60%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -7.44%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 16:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 17:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 19:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -11.61%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.51%E -2.15%K -14.78%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.88%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.88%K -20.91%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 15:40 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-05 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 18:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95% | 1.4% | 2026-08-05 19:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 19:15 |