Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev v Tallon Griekspoor

2026-08-05 17:20 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

50 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prediction 85.42%1.17fair odd
EV -2.62%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -18.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.83%85.20%85.32%87.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.111.111.1493.46%90.06%90.09%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visit)

Prediction 14.58%6.86fair odd
EV +7.87%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.23%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 7.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.94%14.80%14.68%17.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.386.407.4018.52%15.66%15.63%13.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Alexander Zverev (Local): 85.42%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visit): 14.58%. For Tallon Griekspoor (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.86. 9 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 7.40, producing a positive expected value of +7.87%.

Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.10I 90.91%NM 87.06%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 12.94%EV +7.87%E +1.06%K +1.23%G +0.097%4.4%2026-08-05 05:49
1xBet1.11I 90.09%NM 86.33%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%7.01I 14.27%NM 13.67%EV +2.19%E +0.312%K +0.364%G +0.008%4.4%2026-08-05 06:45
Coolbet1.13I 88.50%NM 86.10%EV -3.47%E -3.07%K -26.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.90%EV +2.04%E +0.292%K +0.341%G +0.007%2.8%2026-08-05 07:20
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +2.04%E +0.292%K +0.341%G +0.007%3.6%2026-08-05 06:04
Bovada1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +2.04%E +0.292%K +0.341%G +0.007%4.4%2026-08-05 06:39
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.04%E +0.292%K +0.341%G +0.007%5.2%2026-08-05 05:49
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.04%E +0.292%K +0.341%G +0.007%5.2%2026-08-05 05:48
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.04%E +0.292%K +0.341%G +0.007%5.2%2026-08-05 05:55
DraftKings1.11I 90.09%NM 86.30%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.99I 14.31%NM 13.70%EV +1.90%E +0.271%K +0.317%G +0.006%4.4%2026-08-05 06:59
Marathon Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.08%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.92%EV -0.872%E -0.128%K -0.150%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 06:45
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -2.33%E -0.348%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 06:25
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.60%E -8.04%K -122.83%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -2.33%E -0.348%K -0.409%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-05 06:49
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 85.49%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.51%EV -3.79%E -0.574%K -0.676%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 07:05
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.79%E -0.574%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:05
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.79%E -0.574%K -0.676%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:05
Betway1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.25%E -0.807%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 07:05
Unibet (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -5.25%E -0.807%K -0.954%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 07:24
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -5.25%E -0.807%K -0.954%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:14
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -5.25%E -0.807%K -0.954%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 06:40
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -5.97%E -0.926%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 05:50
Unibet (NL)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Virgin Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
BetRivers1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:14
Unibet (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
TABtouch1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Casumo1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Grosvenor1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
ATG (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
betPARX1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Svenska Spel1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
Bally Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV -6.70%E -1.05%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:15
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 85.02%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.98%EV -8.16%E -1.30%K -1.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:15
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.89%E -1.42%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 07:05
ReBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV -9.62%E -1.55%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-05 05:49
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.08%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 07:05
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -6.04%E -5.49%K -60.35%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV -11.08%E -1.82%K -2.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 07:14
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.53%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:15
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.53%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:15
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.53%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:15
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.53%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 07:15
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.18%E -4.67%K -47.10%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.53%E -2.09%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 05:50
Dabble (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.62%E -2.30%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.82%E -3.60%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 06:55
PlayUp1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -2.62%E -2.30%K -18.70%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -19.82%E -3.60%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 06:54
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.82%E -3.60%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 07:07
betano_uk1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.33%E -3.86%K -36.06%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.82%E -3.60%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 07:05
Betclic (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -6.89%E -6.32%K -76.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -21.28%E -3.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 07:09
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.20%EV -6.89%E -6.32%K -76.55%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -21.28%E -3.94%K -4.84%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-05 07:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-08-05 06:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%2.9%2026-08-05 07:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 87.54%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.46%2.9%2026-08-05 07:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 87.64%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.36%3.7%2026-08-05 06:40
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 87.49%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.51%3.9%2026-08-05 07:25
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%4.9%2026-08-05 06:20