Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev v Tallon Griekspoor

2026-08-05 17:20 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Résultat du match

53 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Prévision 87.58%1.14cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.71%
Kelly -15.96%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
84.99%87.51%87.46%89.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.061.081.081.1294.34%92.38%92.59%89.29%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur)

Prévision 12.42%8.05cote équitable
EV +13.06%
Avantage +1.44%
Kelly +1.61%
Croissance +0.211%

avec la cote maximale 9.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.52%12.49%12.54%15.01%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
6.007.697.809.1016.67%13.01%12.82%10.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Alexander Zverev (Local) : 87.58% ; Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur) : 12.42%. Pour Tallon Griekspoor (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 8.05. 9 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.10, pour une espérance positive de +13.06%.

Cotes des opérateurs (53 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +13.06%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.211%4.4%2026-08-05 07:40
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +11.82%E +1.31%K +1.48%G +0.175%4.6%2026-08-05 08:09
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +6.85%E +0.796%K +0.901%G +0.062%4.2%2026-08-05 08:04
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 88.81%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 11.19%EV +6.47%E +0.755%K +0.855%G +0.055%4.3%2026-08-05 07:40
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.60%E +0.659%K +0.747%G +0.042%4.4%2026-08-05 08:04
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.60%E +0.659%K +0.747%G +0.042%4.4%2026-08-05 08:05
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.60%E +0.659%K +0.747%G +0.042%5.2%2026-08-05 08:05
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.50%E +0.303%K +0.345%G +0.009%3.0%2026-08-05 07:45
1xBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.07%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.93%EV +0.014%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 08:09
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 08:10
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:07
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Casumo1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Grosvenor1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:39
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:39
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:00
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -3.09%E -0.396%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 08:10
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.71%E -0.479%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 08:04
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%EV -1.91%E -1.71%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%EV -4.46%E -0.580%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 07:40
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 08:10
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 08:10
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:10
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:10
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:10
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:10
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:05
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 07:45
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:05
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:09
betfred_uk1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 08:10
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 07:40
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -10.55%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 08:05
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -10.55%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 07:45
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.91%E -1.71%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -13.03%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 06:04
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.03%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:40
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -14.27%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 08:09
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -15.52%E -2.28%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 08:10
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:40
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.79%E -2.51%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:45
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 08:10
betano_uk1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 08:05
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-05 08:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-05 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-05 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-05 07:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-05 08:10
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-08-05 08:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 87.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%6.6%2026-08-05 07:40