Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev v Tallon Griekspoor

Início: 2026-08-05 19:30 UTC

Final: Alexander Zverev 1–2 Tallon Griekspoor

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

65 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Previsão 83.32%1.20odd justa
EV -2.51%
Vantagem -2.15%
Kelly -14.78%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.17

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.04%83.27%83.27%85.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.091.131.131.1791.74%88.54%88.50%85.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Previsão 16.68%6.00odd justa
EV +8.41%
Vantagem +1.29%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.128%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.36%16.73%16.73%18.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.005.815.806.5020.00%17.21%17.24%15.38%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexander Zverev (Local): 83.32%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 16.68%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.00. 28 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.50, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +8.41%.

Odds das casas de apostas (65 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +8.41%E +1.29%K +1.53%G +0.128%5.5%2026-08-05 15:15
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -9.18%E -8.42%K -101.99%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +8.41%E +1.29%K +1.53%G +0.128%7.1%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
BetRivers🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
TABtouch🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Casumo🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Grosvenor🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
betPARX🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Bally Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.22%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.78%EV +6.74%E +1.05%K +1.25%G +0.084%5.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54%EV +4.24%E +0.678%K +0.807%G +0.034%3.0%2026-08-05 18:39
DraftKings🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.65%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%6.23I 16.05%NM 15.35%EV +3.90%E +0.627%K +0.746%G +0.029%4.5%2026-08-05 19:15
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.66%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000%6.18I 16.18%NM 15.34%EV +3.07%E +0.497%K +0.593%G +0.018%5.5%2026-08-05 15:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.72%EV -8.35%E -7.59%K -83.46%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.28%EV +1.74%E +0.284%K +0.340%G +0.006%7.3%2026-08-05 15:15
Pinnacle🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 84.03%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.97%EV +0.901%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%3.5%2026-08-05 19:15
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +0.901%E +0.149%K +0.178%G +0.002%5.0%2026-08-05 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.92%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.08%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 19:10
FanDuel🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-05 17:15
ReBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 17:25
Sky Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 15:15
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 15:15
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +0.068%E +0.011%K +0.014%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.81%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.19%EV -1.60%E -0.271%K -0.327%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-05 19:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.93%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.07%EV -1.60%E -0.271%K -0.327%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 15:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.93%E -0.504%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.50%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.50%EV -2.93%E -0.504%K -0.609%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 18:10
Fanatics🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -3.27%E -0.563%K -0.681%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:10
Betway🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.33%EV -4.18%E -3.63%K -27.86%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.67%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 19:10
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 19:10
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 16:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -4.10%E -0.713%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 19:10
NetBet (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -4.94%E -0.866%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 16:50
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.92%EV -3.35%E -2.88%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.63I 17.76%NM 17.08%EV -6.10%E -1.08%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 19:13
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.60%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:10
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -6.60%E -1.18%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 19:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -7.44%E -1.34%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 19:10
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:00
Dabble (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:25
PlayUp🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:25
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 15:15
BetAnything🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 17:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 19:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-05 15:15
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 19:13
Tipico (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -7.51%E -6.77%K -68.30%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -8.27%E -1.50%K -1.84%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-05 15:15
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -6.68%E -5.96%K -55.66%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -11.61%E -2.19%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.51%E -2.15%K -14.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 15:45
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.88%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -3.35%E -2.88%K -20.91%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 15:15
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:14
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.01%E -4.40%K -35.81%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 19:15
Bet Victor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 15:40
betano_uk🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -5.85%E -5.17%K -44.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -16.61%E -3.32%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-05 15:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-08-05 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.94%6.60I 15.15%NM 15.06%0.6%2026-08-05 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-05 19:15
Matchbook◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%0.9%2026-08-05 18:20
Novig◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-08-05 19:10
ProphetX◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.05%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.95%1.4%2026-08-05 19:10
Smarkets◎1.15I 86.96%NM 85.53%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.47%1.7%2026-08-05 19:15