Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev v Tallon Griekspoor

2026-08-05 17:20 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexander Zverev (Local)

Predicción 87.58%1.14momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.71%
Kelly -15.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.12

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
84.99%87.51%87.46%89.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.061.081.081.1294.34%92.38%92.59%89.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante)

Predicción 12.42%8.05momio equitativo
EV +13.06%
Ventaja +1.44%
Kelly +1.61%
Crecimiento +0.211%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
10.52%12.49%12.54%15.01%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
6.007.697.809.1016.67%13.01%12.82%10.99%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Alexander Zverev (Local): 87.58%; Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante): 12.42%. Para Tallon Griekspoor (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 8.05. 9 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 9.10, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +13.06%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
DraftKings1.07I 93.46%NM 89.48%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.52%EV +13.06%E +1.44%K +1.61%G +0.211%4.4%2026-08-05 07:40
Betclic (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 89.37%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.63%EV +11.82%E +1.31%K +1.48%G +0.175%4.6%2026-08-05 08:09
FanDuel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.84%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.16%EV +6.85%E +0.796%K +0.901%G +0.062%4.2%2026-08-05 08:04
Pinnacle1.08I 92.59%NM 88.81%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.57I 11.67%NM 11.19%EV +6.47%E +0.755%K +0.855%G +0.055%4.3%2026-08-05 07:40
Paddy Power1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.60%E +0.659%K +0.747%G +0.042%4.4%2026-08-05 08:04
Sky Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.60%E +0.659%K +0.747%G +0.042%4.4%2026-08-05 08:05
SportsBet1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV +5.60%E +0.659%K +0.747%G +0.042%5.2%2026-08-05 08:05
Coolbet1.10I 90.91%NM 88.24%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.76%EV +2.50%E +0.303%K +0.345%G +0.009%3.0%2026-08-05 07:45
1xBet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.07%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%8.05I 12.42%NM 11.93%EV +0.014%E +0.002%K +0.002%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 08:09
Fanatics1.09I 91.74%NM 88.01%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.99%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-05 08:10
Bovada1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:07
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Virgin Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
LiveScore Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Casumo1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Grosvenor1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:39
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:40
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 07:39
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -0.608%E -0.076%K -0.087%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:00
Marathon Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 87.84%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.16%EV -3.09%E -0.396%K -0.455%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 08:10
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.97%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.03%EV -3.71%E -0.479%K -0.550%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-05 08:04
GTbets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%EV -1.91%E -1.71%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%EV -4.46%E -0.580%K -0.667%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 07:40
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 08:10
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 87.46%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.54%EV -5.58%E -0.734%K -0.845%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 08:10
Unibet (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:10
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 08:10
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:10
PointsBet (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:10
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:05
Betr (AU)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 07:45
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:05
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 08:09
betfred_uk1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -6.29%E -5.88%K -89.91%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-05 08:10
PMU (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.62%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.38%EV -6.82%E -0.909%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-05 07:40
LeoVegas1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -4.54%E -4.17%K -50.47%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -10.55%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 08:05
Tipico (DE)1.06I 94.34%NM 87.17%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.83%EV -10.55%E -1.46%K -1.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 07:45
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -1.91%E -1.71%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV -13.03%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 06:04
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -13.03%E -1.86%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 07:40
Unibet (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.47%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.53%EV -14.27%E -2.07%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-05 08:09
ReBet1.08I 92.59%NM 86.29%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.71%EV -15.52%E -2.28%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-05 08:10
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -16.14%E -2.39%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:40
Dabble (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -2.79%E -2.51%K -25.37%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-05 07:45
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -3.67%E -3.33%K -36.66%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 07:45
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 08:10
betano_uk1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.42%E -5.02%K -67.72%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -19.24%E -2.96%K -3.50%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-05 08:05
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%EV -7.17%E -6.76%K -119.49%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%EV -25.46%E -4.24%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-05 08:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.44%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.56%0.7%2026-08-05 07:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-05 07:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-05 07:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.23%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.77%1.0%2026-08-05 08:10
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 90.25%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.75%2.6%2026-08-05 08:10
Smarkets1.07I 93.46%NM 87.66%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.34%6.6%2026-08-05 07:40