Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic v Daniel Altmaier

2026-08-02 16:10 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prediction 56.15%1.78fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -4.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.12%56.10%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.691.701.7259.88%59.02%58.82%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Visit)

Prediction 43.85%2.28fair odd
EV -2.21%
Edge -0.991%
Kelly -1.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%43.88%43.90%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.152.2347.62%46.31%46.51%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Aleksandar Vukic (Local): 56.15%; Daniel Altmaier (Visit): 43.85%. For Daniel Altmaier (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.28. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.23, with an expected value of -2.21%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet1.72I 58.14%NM 56.46%EV -3.43%E -1.99%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.54%EV -2.21%E -0.991%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 08:40
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%EV -2.65%E -1.19%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-02 08:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.99%E -2.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 07:01
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:35
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:34
PMU (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:35
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:34
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:34
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:34
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:34
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:34
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:35
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:34
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:35
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 08:35
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -4.55%E -2.68%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 06:55
Marathon Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -5.28%E -2.44%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-02 08:40
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.11%E -3.02%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 06:54
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 06:54
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 07:29
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.53%E -1.60%K -2.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 07:30
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -5.72%E -2.66%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 08:49
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.23%E -3.73%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -7.91%E -3.77%K -7.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 06:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-08-02 08:30