默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aleksandar Vukic v Daniel Altmaier

开赛时间: 2026-08-04 00:15 UTC

最终结果: Aleksandar Vukic 1–2 Daniel Altmaier

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

62 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Aleksandar Vukic (主队)

预测 58.98%1.70公平赔率
EV -2.68%
优势 -1.62%
Kelly -4.12%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.65

博彩公司预测分布
57.29%58.89%58.96%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.601.601.6566.67%62.53%62.50%60.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

Daniel Altmaier (客队)

预测 41.02%2.44公平赔率
EV -1.56%
优势 -0.649%
Kelly -1.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.40

博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.11%41.04%42.71%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.31%43.48%41.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Aleksandar Vukic (主队):58.98%;Daniel Altmaier (客队):41.02%。 对于“Daniel Altmaier (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.40,期望值为-1.56%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (62 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.79%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:30
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:14
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:14
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:45
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.86%E -2.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.56%E -0.649%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 00:08
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.86%E -2.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 21:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 20:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 23:19
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:43
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.20%E -1.36%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 21:15
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:14
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 00:04
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:00
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 21:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:36
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.99%E -5.12%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.58%E -5.53%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.17%E -5.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -11.53%E -7.68%K -23.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -8.53%E -3.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 23:19
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (7)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 00:07
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-02 21:45
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-08-04 00:10