Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aleksandar Vukic v Daniel Altmaier

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-04 00:15 UTC

Score final : Aleksandar Vukic 1–2 Daniel Altmaier

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aleksandar Vukic (Local)

Prévision 58.98%1.70cote équitable
EV -2.68%
Avantage -1.62%
Kelly -4.12%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.29%58.89%58.96%60.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.601.601.6566.67%62.53%62.50%60.61%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.02%2.44cote équitable
EV -1.56%
Avantage -0.649%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.75%41.11%41.04%42.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.31%43.48%41.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aleksandar Vukic (Local) : 58.98% ; Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur) : 41.02%. Pour Daniel Altmaier (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.44. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.40, pour une espérance de -1.56% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.79%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:30
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:14
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:14
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:45
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.86%E -2.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.56%E -0.649%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 00:08
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.86%E -2.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 21:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 20:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 23:19
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:43
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.20%E -1.36%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 21:15
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:14
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 00:04
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:00
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 21:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:36
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.99%E -5.12%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.58%E -5.53%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.17%E -5.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -11.53%E -7.68%K -23.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -8.53%E -3.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 23:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 00:07
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-02 21:45
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-08-04 00:10