Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aleksandar Vukic v Daniel Altmaier

Inizio: 2026-08-04 00:15 UTC

Finale: Aleksandar Vukic 1–2 Daniel Altmaier

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

62 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Aleksandar Vukic (Casa)

Previsione 58.98%1.70quota equa
EV -2.68%
Vantaggio -1.62%
Kelly -4.12%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.65

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.29%58.89%58.96%60.25%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.601.601.6566.67%62.53%62.50%60.61%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta)

Previsione 41.02%2.44quota equa
EV -1.56%
Vantaggio -0.649%
Kelly -1.11%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.75%41.11%41.04%42.71%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.312.302.4045.45%43.31%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Aleksandar Vukic (Casa): 58.98%; Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta): 41.02%. Per Daniel Altmaier (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.44. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.40, con un valore atteso del -1.56%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.96%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 41.04%EV -2.79%E -1.18%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-03 23:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:30
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:14
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 00:14
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -2.68%E -1.62%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV -8.94%E -4.03%K -7.33%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 00:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 21:15
Dabble (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:45
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -3.27%E -1.99%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 14:30
Coolbet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.55%EV -3.86%E -2.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.45%EV -1.56%E -0.649%K -1.11%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 00:08
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.86%E -2.37%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 14:45
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-03 21:15
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 21:14
Unibet (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 21:15
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 20:44
BetUS🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 16:15
BetAnything🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 23:10
theScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 02:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 16:20
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 14:30
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 23:19
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.45%E -2.75%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 17:43
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.20%E -1.36%K -2.35%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 21:15
Bovada🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 22:19
NordicBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:20
1xBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 00:14
ReBet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -5.04%E -3.13%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -4.84%E -2.09%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 22:10
SportsBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 21:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 00:04
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 21:20
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-04 00:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.63%E -3.52%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.76%E -4.44%K -8.14%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -3.61%E -1.54%K -2.67%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 00:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 16:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.22%E -3.91%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 22:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 11:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.81%E -4.31%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -4.02%E -1.72%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 23:00
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -2.38%E -1.000%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-03 11:50
888sport🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 21:15
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-03 10:04
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:39
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.40%E -4.71%K -12.98%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 22:36
TABtouch🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.90%EV -7.99%E -5.12%K -14.26%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.10%EV -4.43%E -1.90%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 23:19
Tipico (DE)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.58%E -5.53%K -15.59%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.66%E -2.46%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 14:30
Fliff🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -9.17%E -5.95%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -7.71%E -3.43%K -6.17%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 22:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 59.79%EV -11.53%E -7.68%K -23.05%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 40.21%EV -8.53%E -3.83%K -6.94%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-03 23:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.88%2.42I 41.32%NM 41.12%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Matchbook1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%0.5%2026-08-04 00:10
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-04 00:07
ProphetX1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%1.7%2026-08-02 21:45
Smarkets1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%2.3%2026-08-04 00:10