Language:English
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Juncheng Shang
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)
Prediction 43.03%2.32fair odd
EV -0.597%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.456%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.22%43.14%42.97%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.202.202.3148.54%45.46%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Juncheng Shang (Visit)
Prediction 56.97%1.76fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -2.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%56.86%57.03%58.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.29%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 43.03%; Juncheng Shang (Visit): 56.97%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.32. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.31, with an expected value of -0.597%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -0.597%E -0.258%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.828%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.90%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.01%E -1.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.05%E -3.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.42%E -5.92%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.32%EV -11.35%E -5.51%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
Discuss this game on odds.forum
No published comments yet.