Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Juncheng Shang

2026-08-02 14:30 UTC — ATP Canadian Open

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local)

Prediction 43.21%2.31fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -2.22%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.60%43.32%43.17%44.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.182.2547.62%45.61%45.87%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Juncheng Shang (Visit)

Prediction 56.79%1.76fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -1.69%
Kelly -4.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.70%56.68%56.83%57.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.681.681.7160.61%59.52%59.52%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local): 43.21%; Juncheng Shang (Visit): 56.79%. For Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.31. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.25, with an expected value of -2.77%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%EV -2.90%E -1.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-01 18:34
Pinnacle2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.3%2026-08-01 19:20
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -2.77%E -1.23%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-01 18:48
BetOnline.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.07%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:30
LowVig.ag2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -4.07%E -1.83%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.46%E -2.04%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-01 20:29
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 18:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 21:15
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.73%E -3.45%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-01 18:34
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.93%E -2.24%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.30%E -3.82%K -9.70%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 18:30
Marathon Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 18:40
PMU (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 14:09
Svenska Spel2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 14:10
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 14:15
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:20
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:20
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:25
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:24
TABtouch2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:39
Unibet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 15:45
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 16:00
Unibet (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.79%E -2.66%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.60%E -2.74%K -6.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-01 17:14
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.25%E -4.41%K -8.41%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.17%E -3.09%K -7.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 18:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.25I 44.44%NM 43.18%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.82%2.9%2026-08-01 22:10