StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Juncheng Shang

Spielbeginn: 2026-08-02 15:08 UTC

Endstand: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–2 Juncheng Shang

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (21 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Heim)

Prognose 43.03%2.32faire Quote
EV -0.597%
Vorteil -0.258%
Kelly -0.456%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.31

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
41.22%43.14%42.97%44.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.062.202.202.3148.54%45.46%45.45%43.29%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Juncheng Shang (Auswärts)

Prognose 56.97%1.76faire Quote
EV -2.01%
Vorteil -1.17%
Kelly -2.80%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.72

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
55.26%56.86%57.03%58.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.29%59.88%58.14%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Heim): 43.03%; Juncheng Shang (Auswärts): 56.97%. Für Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Heim) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 2.32. Kein geeigneter Wettanbieter bot eine Schlussquote über diesem Wert an: Die beste betrug 2.31, bei einem Erwartungswert von -0.597%; sie ergab keinen positiven Erwartungswert.

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -0.597%E -0.258%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 12:20
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:35
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.828%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:20
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 14:34
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:19
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.90%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.01%E -1.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:54
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:54
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 15:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:04
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:03
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:35
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.05%E -3.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:19
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.42%E -5.92%K -15.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:59
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.32%EV -11.35%E -5.51%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 15:04
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-08-02 14:55