Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 2.31
avec la cote maximale 1.72
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local) : 43.03% ; Juncheng Shang (Visiteur) : 56.97%. Pour Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.32. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.31, pour une espérance de -0.597% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -0.597%E -0.258%K -0.456%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 12:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-02 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.828%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-02 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.90%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.01%E -1.17%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 13:54 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-02 15:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 12:53 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 14:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.05%E -3.26%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 14:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-02 14:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 13:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 14:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 12:54 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-02 14:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.42%E -5.92%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 15:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.32%EV -11.35%E -5.51%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 15:04 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78% | 1.2% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 1.6% | 2026-08-02 15:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17% | 1.7% | 2026-08-02 14:55 |