Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo v Juncheng Shang

Inizio: 2026-08-02 15:08 UTC

Finale: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo 0–2 Juncheng Shang

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa)

Previsione 43.03%2.32quota equa
EV -0.597%
Vantaggio -0.258%
Kelly -0.456%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.31

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.22%43.14%42.97%44.74%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.062.202.202.3148.54%45.46%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Juncheng Shang (Trasferta)

Previsione 56.97%1.76quota equa
EV -2.01%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.80%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.72

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.26%56.86%57.03%58.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.581.661.671.7263.29%60.29%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa): 43.03%; Juncheng Shang (Trasferta): 56.97%. Per Adolfo Daniel Vallejo (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.32. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.31, con un valore atteso del -0.597%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -0.597%E -0.258%K -0.456%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:55
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 14:40
Coolbet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.21%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.79%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-02 15:04
BetOnline.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 12:24
LowVig.ag🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-02 12:20
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:35
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.03%E -0.447%K -0.790%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 14:20
SportsBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -1.89%E -0.828%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-02 14:20
GTbets🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.58%E -1.51%K -3.64%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-02 14:34
ReBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.32%E -1.02%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 14:19
BetAnything🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.18%E -1.41%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 14:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.04%E -1.81%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-02 14:20
DraftKings🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.75%EV -4.90%E -2.22%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.25%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 15:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.88%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.12%EV -2.01%E -1.17%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 15:04
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
betPARX🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet (NL)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
TABtouch🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:54
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Bally Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 13:54
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.00%E -3.64%K -9.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-02 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 15:05
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 15:04
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:05
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 14:35
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:04
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.33%E -2.42%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.28%E -5.14%K -13.58%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 15:03
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.19%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-02 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.19%E -2.84%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.86%E -2.91%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 12:53
Unibet (UK)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-02 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.13%EV -6.62%E -3.05%K -5.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -9.99%E -6.32%K -17.22%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 14:35
BetUS🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.05%E -3.26%K -6.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 14:29
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 15:04
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 14:50
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 13:19
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-02 14:15
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 12:54
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.71%E -4.76%K -12.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-02 14:19
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -7.48%E -3.48%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -9.42%E -5.92%K -15.97%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-02 15:05
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:59
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.15%E -1.86%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-02 14:55
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.72%E -2.20%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-02 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -9.63%E -4.59%K -8.76%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -4.29%E -2.56%K -6.31%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.32%EV -11.35%E -5.51%K -10.71%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 55.68%EV -6.57%E -4.01%K -10.27%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 15:04
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 41.87%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.13%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%1.2%2026-08-02 15:05
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08%1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92%1.6%2026-08-02 15:05
Novig2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%1.7%2026-08-02 14:55