Idioma:Português
Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Nuno Borges (Local)
Previsão 27.64%3.62odd justa
EV +3.67%
Vantagem +0.978%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescimento +0.049%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%27.59%27.67%29.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.403.403.7530.77%29.41%29.41%26.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)
Previsão 72.36%1.38odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -11.42%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.96%72.41%72.33%74.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.271.311.311.3378.74%76.34%76.05%75.19%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Nuno Borges (Local): 27.64%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante): 72.36%. Para Nuno Borges (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.62. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.75, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.67%.
Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.67%E +0.978%K +1.33%G +0.049% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 05:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.626%E +0.172%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-15 07:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 08:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 08:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 05:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 07:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.46%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 06:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.11%E -6.38%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 07:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 07:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 07:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (6)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |