A Escola das Odds

Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Início: 2026-04-15 09:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nuno Borges (Local)

Previsão 27.64%3.62odd justa
EV +3.67%
Vantagem +0.978%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescimento +0.049%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.60%27.59%27.67%29.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.253.403.403.7530.77%29.41%29.41%26.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Visitante)

Previsão 72.36%1.38odd justa
EV -3.77%
Vantagem -2.83%
Kelly -11.42%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.96%72.41%72.33%74.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.271.311.311.3378.74%76.34%76.05%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.67%E +0.978%K +1.33%G +0.049%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 05:30
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.626%E +0.172%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 07:44
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 08:43
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 08:46
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 08:40
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 05:14
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:45
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:24
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 08:45
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 08:40
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 08:49
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 08:05
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 08:20
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 07:25
DraftKings3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 07:45
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 08:49
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.46%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:49
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:45
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:44
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 05:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 05:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 05:25
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 05:25
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:45
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:25
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 06:49
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.11%E -6.38%K -30.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 07:45
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 07:45
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:50
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 07:45
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 08:45
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 07:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:15
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:14
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:14
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:25
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 08:44
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 08:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 07:14
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 08:48
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 07:30
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 05:45
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%2.3%2026-04-15 08:40
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-15 08:50