Szkoła Kursów

Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Początek: 2026-04-15 09:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

64 bukmacherów (23 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Nuno Borges (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 27.64%3.62kurs godziwy
EV +3.67%
Przewaga +0.978%
Kelly +1.33%
Wzrost +0.049%

przy maksymalnym kursie 3.75

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
25.60%27.59%27.67%29.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
3.253.403.403.7530.77%29.41%29.41%26.67%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Goście)

Prognoza 72.36%1.38kurs godziwy
EV -3.77%
Przewaga -2.83%
Kelly -11.42%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.33

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
70.96%72.41%72.33%74.40%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.271.311.311.3378.74%76.34%76.05%75.19%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (64 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarze ▼GościeMarżaAktualizacja
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.67%E +0.978%K +1.33%G +0.049%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 05:30
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.626%E +0.172%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 07:44
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 08:43
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 08:46
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 08:40
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 05:14
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:45
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:24
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 08:45
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 08:40
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 08:49
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 08:05
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 08:20
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 07:25
DraftKings3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 07:45
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 08:49
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.46%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:49
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:45
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:44
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 05:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 05:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 05:25
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 05:25
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:45
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:25
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 06:49
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.11%E -6.38%K -30.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 07:45
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 07:45
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:50
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 07:45
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 08:45
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 07:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:15
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:14
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:14
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:25
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 08:44
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 08:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 07:14
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 08:48
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 07:30
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 05:45
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (6)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%2.3%2026-04-15 08:40
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-15 08:50