Lingua:Italiano
Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Nuno Borges (Casa)
Previsione 27.64%3.62quota equa
EV +3.67%
Vantaggio +0.978%
Kelly +1.33%
Crescita +0.049%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.60%27.59%27.67%29.04%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.253.403.403.7530.77%29.41%29.41%26.67%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta)
Previsione 72.36%1.38quota equa
EV -3.77%
Vantaggio -2.83%
Kelly -11.42%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.96%72.41%72.33%74.40%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.271.311.311.3378.74%76.34%76.05%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Nuno Borges (Casa): 27.64%; Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Trasferta): 72.36%. Per Nuno Borges (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.62. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 3.75, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +3.67%.
Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.67%E +0.978%K +1.33%G +0.049% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 05:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.626%E +0.172%K +0.237%G +0.001% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-15 07:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-15 08:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 08:46 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 05:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 07:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 08:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.46%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 08:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 07:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-15 06:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.11%E -6.38%K -30.03%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 07:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-15 08:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 07:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 03:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-15 05:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 08:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 07:14 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 08:48 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 07:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 05:45 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79% | 0.4% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93% | 2.3% | 2026-04-15 08:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 08:50 |