Die Wettquotenschule

Nuno Borges v Tomas Martin Etcheverry

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-15 09:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

64 Wettanbieter (23 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Nuno Borges (Heim)

Prognose 27.64%3.62faire Quote
EV +3.67%
Vorteil +0.978%
Kelly +1.33%
Wachstum +0.049%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.75

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
25.60%27.59%27.67%29.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
3.253.403.403.7530.77%29.41%29.41%26.67%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Tomas Martin Etcheverry (Auswärts)

Prognose 72.36%1.38faire Quote
EV -3.77%
Vorteil -2.83%
Kelly -11.42%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.33

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
70.96%72.41%72.33%74.40%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.271.311.311.3378.74%76.34%76.05%75.19%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (64 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeim ▼AuswärtsMargeAktualisiert
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +3.67%E +0.978%K +1.33%G +0.049%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-15 05:30
Pinnacle3.64I 27.47%NM 26.76%EV +0.626%E +0.172%K +0.237%G +0.001%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.24%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-15 08:45
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.25%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.75%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-15 07:44
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%EV -1.86%E -0.525%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-15 08:43
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-15 08:46
Betway3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 08:40
GTbets3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 05:14
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:45
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -3.24%E -0.927%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 07:24
BetOnline.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 08:45
LowVig.ag3.49I 28.65%NM 27.44%EV -3.52%E -1.01%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.56%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-15 08:40
1xBet3.48I 28.74%NM 27.50%EV -3.80%E -1.09%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.50%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-15 08:49
ReBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 08:05
Unibet (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-15 08:20
SportsBet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 07:25
DraftKings3.44I 29.07%NM 27.73%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.27%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-15 07:45
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07%NM 27.58%EV -4.90%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.42%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-15 08:49
Coolbet3.42I 29.24%NM 27.85%EV -5.46%E -1.60%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.15%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 08:49
Bet Right3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 08:45
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:44
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 05:45
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:44
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
Codere (IT)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 07:45
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 05:25
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 05:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 05:25
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-15 05:25
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 08:45
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 07:25
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-15 06:49
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.01%E -1.77%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.11%E -6.38%K -30.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-15 07:45
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 07:45
BetUS3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.49%E -3.40%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-15 08:50
Betr (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.21%E -3.98%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 08:50
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 07:45
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-15 08:45
NetBet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.65%EV -7.39%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.35%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-15 07:30
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:15
William Hill3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:14
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:14
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 03:15
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:25
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:25
TAB3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 08:44
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Virgin Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-15 05:44
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -8.77%E -2.66%K -3.81%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.38%E -5.77%K -26.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 08:44
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.77%E -2.83%K -11.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 07:14
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.94%E -4.57%K -19.79%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 08:48
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 07:30
PMU (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.16%E -3.12%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.66%E -5.16%K -22.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 05:45
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.80I 26.32%NM 26.21%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.79%0.4%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-04-15 08:50
Novig3.61I 27.70%NM 27.07%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.93%2.3%2026-04-15 08:40
Smarkets3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.96%2.4%2026-04-15 08:50