語言:繁體中文
Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Machac
收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →
獨贏
Carlos Alcaraz (主隊)
預測 84.51%1.18公平賠率
EV +3.95%
優勢 +3.21%
Kelly +17.15%
成長率 +0.677%
假設最高賠率為 1.23
博彩公司預測分布
75.45%83.90%84.51%86.74%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.061.131.121.2394.34%88.80%89.29%81.30%最小值平均值中位數最大值
Tomas Machac (客隊)
預測 15.49%6.46公平賠率
EV +11.38%
優勢 +1.58%
Kelly +1.84%
成長率 +0.209%
假設最高賠率為 7.19
博彩公司預測分布
13.26%16.10%15.49%24.55%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.755.946.007.1926.67%16.84%16.67%13.91%最小值平均值中位數最大值
依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Carlos Alcaraz (主隊)：84.51%；Tomas Machac (客隊)：15.49%。 對於「Tomas Machac (客隊)」，該估計相當於6.46的公平十進位賠率。 當時有17家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為7.19，對應+11.38%的正期望值。
博彩公司賠率 (62 家博彩公司)
本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 ▼ | 客隊 | 利潤率 | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV +3.95%E +3.21%K +17.15%G +0.677% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -36.48%E -8.90%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -41.91%E -11.18%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV +2.26%E +1.86%K +10.74%G +0.242% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV -27.81%E -5.97%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +1.41%E +1.18%K +7.05%G +0.099% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -28.74%E -6.25%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:13 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.93%EV +0.565%E +0.475%K +2.97%G +0.017% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.07%EV -26.57%E -5.61%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:48 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -22.54%E -4.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.58%EV +11.38%E +1.58%K +1.84%G +0.209% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV +5.50%E +0.807%K +0.946%G +0.052% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 15:41 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +2.09%E +0.317%K +0.374%G +0.008% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:53 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.89%E +0.999%K +1.17%G +0.081% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.79%E +0.566%K +0.666%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 16:16 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 15:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -0.854%E -0.133%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 08:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.51%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.49%EV -8.75%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.42%E -9.83%K -173.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 15:40 |
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率
更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主隊 | 客隊 | 利潤率 ▲ | 更新時間 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 16:57 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 16:19 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 17:07 |