La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Machac
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Carlos Alcaraz (Casa)
Previsione 84.51%1.18quota equa
EV +3.95%
Vantaggio +3.21%
Kelly +17.15%
Crescita +0.677%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.23
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
75.45%83.90%84.51%86.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.061.131.121.2394.34%88.80%89.29%81.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Tomas Machac (Trasferta)
Previsione 15.49%6.46quota equa
EV +11.38%
Vantaggio +1.58%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescita +0.209%
ipotizzando la quota massima 7.19
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.26%16.10%15.49%24.55%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.755.946.007.1926.67%16.84%16.67%13.91%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV +3.95%E +3.21%K +17.15%G +0.677% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -36.48%E -8.90%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -41.91%E -11.18%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV +2.26%E +1.86%K +10.74%G +0.242% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV -27.81%E -5.97%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +1.41%E +1.18%K +7.05%G +0.099% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -28.74%E -6.25%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.93%EV +0.565%E +0.475%K +2.97%G +0.017% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.07%EV -26.57%E -5.61%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -22.54%E -4.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.58%EV +11.38%E +1.58%K +1.84%G +0.209% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV +5.50%E +0.807%K +0.946%G +0.052% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 15:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +2.09%E +0.317%K +0.374%G +0.008% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:53 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.89%E +0.999%K +1.17%G +0.081% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.79%E +0.566%K +0.666%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 16:16 |
| Betway | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Caesars | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -0.854%E -0.133%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 08:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| Everygame | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| GTbets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.51%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.49%EV -8.75%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.42%E -9.83%K -173.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 15:40 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (7)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 16:57 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 16:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 17:07 |