مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Machac
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Carlos Alcaraz (المضيف)
التنبؤ 84.51%1.18السعر العادل
EV +3.95%
الأفضلية +3.21%
Kelly +17.15%
النمو +0.677%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.23
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
75.45%83.90%84.51%86.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.061.131.121.2394.34%88.80%89.29%81.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Tomas Machac (الضيف)
التنبؤ 15.49%6.46السعر العادل
EV +11.38%
الأفضلية +1.58%
Kelly +1.84%
النمو +0.209%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.19
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
13.26%16.10%15.49%24.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.755.946.007.1926.67%16.84%16.67%13.91%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (62 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف ▼ | الضيف | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV +3.95%E +3.21%K +17.15%G +0.677% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -36.48%E -8.90%K -11.77%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| SportsBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -41.91%E -11.18%K -15.24%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-15 16:49 |
| 1xBet | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV +2.26%E +1.86%K +10.74%G +0.242% | 4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV -27.81%E -5.97%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +1.41%E +1.18%K +7.05%G +0.099% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -28.74%E -6.25%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.93%EV +0.565%E +0.475%K +2.97%G +0.017% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.07%EV -26.57%E -5.61%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| Bovada | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Bet Victor | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -22.54%E -4.51%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 7.19I 13.91%NM 13.58%EV +11.38%E +1.58%K +1.84%G +0.209% | 2.4% | 2026-04-15 15:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Unibet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV +5.50%E +0.807%K +0.946%G +0.052% | 4.0% | 2026-04-15 15:41 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +2.09%E +0.317%K +0.374%G +0.008% | 4.5% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:53 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| PlayUp | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| 888sport | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| ReBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-15 15:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.89%E +0.999%K +1.17%G +0.081% | 4.6% | 2026-04-15 15:01 |
| Coolbet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.79%E +0.566%K +0.666%G +0.025% | 5.0% | 2026-04-15 16:16 |
| Betway | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-04-15 15:20 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| TAB | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-15 14:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-15 15:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-15 15:50 |
| Bet Right | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| Caesars | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 6.3% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| theScore Bet | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -0.854%E -0.133%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-15 10:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-15 08:20 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 16:50 |
| BetMGM | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Coral | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 6.0% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-15 13:20 |
| Everygame | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 8.0% | 2026-04-15 16:15 |
| GTbets | 1.08I 92.59%NM 84.51%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000% | 5.89I 16.98%NM 15.49%EV -8.75%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-15 16:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| Neds | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119% | 7.7% | 2026-04-15 11:00 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.42%E -9.83%K -173.68%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001% | 9.7% | 2026-04-15 15:40 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 0.7% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-04-15 17:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94% | 1.4% | 2026-04-15 16:57 |
| Novig | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23% | 4.2% | 2026-04-15 17:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04% | 4.3% | 2026-04-15 16:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10% | 5.2% | 2026-04-15 17:07 |