Школа коэффициентов

Carlos Alcaraz v Tomas Machac

Начало: 2026-04-16 09:00 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (23 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Carlos Alcaraz (Хозяева)

Прогноз 84.51%1.18справедливый коэффициент
EV +3.95%
Преимущество +3.21%
Kelly +17.15%
Рост +0.677%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.23

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
75.45%83.90%84.51%86.74%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.061.131.121.2394.34%88.80%89.29%81.30%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Tomas Machac (Гости)

Прогноз 15.49%6.46справедливый коэффициент
EV +11.38%
Преимущество +1.58%
Kelly +1.84%
Рост +0.209%

при максимальном коэффициенте 7.19

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
13.26%16.10%15.49%24.55%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.755.946.007.1926.67%16.84%16.67%13.91%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиМаржаОбновлено
FanDuel1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV +3.95%E +3.21%K +17.15%G +0.677%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -36.48%E -8.90%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-15 16:50
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 16:50
Sky Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -38.03%E -9.51%K -12.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 16:50
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV +3.10%E +2.54%K +14.09%G +0.437%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -41.91%E -11.18%K -15.24%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-15 16:49
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 79.39%EV +2.26%E +1.86%K +10.74%G +0.242%4.66I 21.46%NM 20.61%EV -27.81%E -5.97%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-15 16:15
Marathon Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV +1.41%E +1.18%K +7.05%G +0.099%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -28.74%E -6.25%K -7.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 16:13
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.93%EV +0.565%E +0.475%K +2.97%G +0.017%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.07%EV -26.57%E -5.61%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 16:15
Bovada1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-15 15:54
Unibet (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.82%E -2.45%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-15 15:48
Fanatics1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -10.15%E -1.75%K -2.11%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-15 15:54
Bet Victor1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.66%E -3.21%K -26.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -22.54%E -4.51%K -5.64%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-15 15:54
Pinnacle1.13I 88.50%NM 86.42%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%7.19I 13.91%NM 13.58%EV +11.38%E +1.58%K +1.84%G +0.209%2.4%2026-04-15 15:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
LeoVegas1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Unibet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-15 15:55
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-15 15:54
Codere (IT)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -4.51%E -3.99%K -34.66%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-15 15:55
LowVig.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.88%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.81I 14.68%NM 14.12%EV +5.50%E +0.807%K +0.946%G +0.052%4.0%2026-04-15 15:41
BetOnline.ag1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV +2.09%E +0.317%K +0.374%G +0.008%4.5%2026-04-15 14:30
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001%4.7%2026-04-15 15:54
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:53
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 15:54
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 14:30
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
William Hill1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:55
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-15 15:55
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.35%E -4.78%K -44.59%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -16.35%E -3.03%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-15 15:54
Betclic (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 86.14%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.86%EV +6.89%E +0.999%K +1.17%G +0.081%4.6%2026-04-15 15:01
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV +3.79%E +0.566%K +0.666%G +0.025%5.0%2026-04-15 16:16
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001%5.5%2026-04-15 15:20
Winamax (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 13:20
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-15 14:30
PMU (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.46%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.54%EV -13.25%E -2.37%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-15 15:55
Tipico (DE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -6.20%E -5.58%K -56.32%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -14.80%E -2.69%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-15 15:50
Bet Right1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%5.2%2026-04-15 16:50
Caesars1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001%6.3%2026-04-15 13:20
theScore Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.33%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.67%EV -0.854%E -0.133%K -0.158%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-15 10:10
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -7.04%E -6.40%K -70.41%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-15 08:20
Betr (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%6.0%2026-04-15 16:50
BetMGM1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%6.0%2026-04-15 11:00
Winamax (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.89%E -7.23%K -87.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -7.05%E -1.18%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-15 13:20
Everygame1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001%8.0%2026-04-15 16:15
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 84.51%EV -8.73%E -8.08%K -109.14%G +0.000%5.89I 16.98%NM 15.49%EV -8.75%E -1.49%K -1.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-15 16:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%7.7%2026-04-15 11:00
Neds1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -9.58%E -8.95%K -136.80%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV +8.44%E +1.21%K +1.41%G +0.119%7.7%2026-04-15 11:00
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 85.98%EV -10.42%E -9.83%K -173.68%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +0.695%E +0.107%K +0.126%G +0.001%9.7%2026-04-15 15:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (7)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%0.7%2026-04-15 17:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-15 17:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-04-15 17:15
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.4%2026-04-15 16:57
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 76.77%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.23%4.2%2026-04-15 17:05
ProphetX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%4.3%2026-04-15 16:19
Smarkets1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%5.2%2026-04-15 17:07