Language:English
Cameron Norrie v Rafael Jodar
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Prediction 28.06%3.56fair odd
EV +0.444%
Edge +0.124%
Kelly +0.172%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.08%28.07%28.11%29.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.363.403.5831.25%29.77%29.41%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visit)
Prediction 71.94%1.39fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.80%71.93%71.89%72.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.99%75.76%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cameron Norrie (Local): 28.06%; Rafael Jodar (Visit): 71.94%. For Cameron Norrie (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.444%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV +0.444%E +0.124%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.73%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |