مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cameron Norrie v Rafael Jodar

البداية: 2026-04-17 15:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cameron Norrie (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.06%3.56السعر العادل
EV +0.444%
الأفضلية +0.124%
Kelly +0.172%
النمو +0.001%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.58

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.08%28.07%28.11%29.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.203.363.403.5831.25%29.77%29.41%27.93%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Rafael Jodar (الضيف)

التنبؤ 71.94%1.39السعر العادل
EV -2.16%
الأفضلية -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
70.80%71.93%71.89%72.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.99%75.76%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Pinnacle3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV +0.444%E +0.124%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:21
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:29
DraftKings3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:30
GTbets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:26
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:29
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 15:29
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:30
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.73%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:30
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:30
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:30
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 15:30
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:30
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:29
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:28
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-04-17 15:30
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Novig3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13%1.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-04-17 15:30