Langue:Français
Cameron Norrie v Rafael Jodar
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV +0.444%
Avantage +0.124%
Kelly +0.172%
Croissance +0.001%
avec la cote maximale 3.58
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.07%28.11%29.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.363.403.5831.25%29.77%29.41%27.93%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)
Prévision 71.94%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.36
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.80%71.93%71.89%72.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.99%75.76%73.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Cameron Norrie (Local) : 28.06% ; Rafael Jodar (Visiteur) : 71.94%. Pour Cameron Norrie (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.56. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.58, soit une espérance positive de +0.444%.
Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV +0.444%E +0.124%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.73%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |