L’École des cotes

Cameron Norrie v Rafael Jodar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 15:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Cameron Norrie (Local)

Prévision 28.06%3.56cote équitable
EV +0.444%
Avantage +0.124%
Kelly +0.172%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.08%28.07%28.11%29.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.363.403.5831.25%29.77%29.41%27.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Rafael Jodar (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.94%1.39cote équitable
EV -2.16%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.80%71.93%71.89%72.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.99%75.76%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV +0.444%E +0.124%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Betclic (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:21
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Sky Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Bet Right3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
FanDuel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 15:29
DraftKings3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-17 15:30
GTbets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Bovada3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:26
BoyleSports3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Casumo3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (NL)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Grosvenor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
ReBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:30
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:30
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 15:29
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
1xBet3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 15:29
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:30
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Marathon Bet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.73%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Coolbet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 15:30
theScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Unibet (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Codere (IT)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 15:30
LiveScore Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Fliff3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 15:30
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 15:30
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 15:30
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Neds3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 15:30
PMU (FR)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 15:30
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:29
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 15:30
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 15:30
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:28
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-17 15:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-04-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%0.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-04-17 15:30
ProphetX3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58%1.3%2026-04-17 15:30
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73%1.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Novig3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87%1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13%1.9%2026-04-17 15:30
Smarkets3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87%2.4%2026-04-17 15:30