Idioma:Español
Cameron Norrie v Rafael Jodar
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cameron Norrie (Local)
Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV +0.444%
Ventaja +0.124%
Kelly +0.172%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.58
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.08%28.07%28.11%29.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.363.403.5831.25%29.77%29.41%27.93%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Rafael Jodar (Visitante)
Predicción 71.94%1.39momio equitativo
EV -2.16%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -5.99%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
70.80%71.93%71.89%72.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.271.321.321.3678.74%75.99%75.76%73.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Cameron Norrie (Local): 28.06%; Rafael Jodar (Visitante): 71.94%. Para Cameron Norrie (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.56. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.58, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.444%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 27.24%EV +0.444%E +0.124%K +0.172%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.76%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:21 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.80%E -0.514%K -0.720%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -3.20%E -0.929%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.91%EV -4.33%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.09%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.57%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.43%EV -2.16%E -1.59%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:26 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -4.61%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.63%E -6.80%K -31.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -4.89%E -1.44%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.45%E -1.62%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.60%E -2.68%K -10.58%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.36I 29.76%NM 28.21%EV -5.73%E -1.70%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.79%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -6.85%E -2.06%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.75%E -4.39%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -7.19%E -5.58%K -24.80%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.32%E -3.24%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.04%E -3.81%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:28 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.22%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.47%E -4.98%K -21.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 0.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.42% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.58% | 1.3% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.27% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.73% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.87% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.13% | 1.9% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.13% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.87% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 15:30 |