The School of Odds

Arthur Fils v Lorenzo Musetti

Matchstart: 2026-04-17 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Arthur Fils (Hemma)

Prognos 52.43%1.91rättvist odds
EV +0.666%
Fördel +0.347%
Kelly +0.723%
Tillväxt +0.005%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.92

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
49.47%53.01%52.70%57.59%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.621.781.771.9261.73%56.16%56.34%52.08%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Lorenzo Musetti (Borta)

Prognos 47.57%2.10rättvist odds
EV +4.65%
Fördel +2.12%
Kelly +3.88%
Tillväxt +0.180%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
42.41%46.99%47.30%50.53%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.821.991.982.2054.95%50.21%50.63%45.45%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180%5.3%2026-04-17 14:14
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180%5.3%2026-04-17 14:13
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -15.06%E -9.30%K -24.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180%7.2%2026-04-17 14:14
FanDuel1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -10.34%E -6.05%K -14.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045%5.0%2026-04-17 14:14
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.49%E -8.18%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045%7.1%2026-04-17 14:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.49%E -8.18%K -20.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045%7.1%2026-04-17 14:15
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.103%E -0.049%K -0.094%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 14:13
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.103%E -0.049%K -0.094%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 14:13
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 14:14
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 14:15
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 14:14
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-17 14:14
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-17 14:14
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-17 14:14
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 14:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 14:14
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 14:15
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 14:15
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 14:15
Pinnacle1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV +0.141%E +0.074%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-17 14:15
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 14:11
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 14:12
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.58%E -2.52%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-17 14:07
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -11.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 14:14
Betclic (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-17 14:13
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.71%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 14:15
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.71%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:04
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.19%E -4.24%K -8.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 14:10
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.141%E +0.074%K +0.155%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.14%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 14:07
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.383%E -0.202%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:07
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.383%E -0.202%K -0.426%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:15
Codere (IT)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 14:01
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 14:15
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +0.666%E +0.347%K +0.723%G +0.005%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 14:11
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -3.53%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 14:15
Neds1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 14:07
Ladbrokes (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 14:07
NetBet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-17 14:01
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.04%E -5.91%K -12.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-17 14:14
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -13.42%E -7.38%K -16.37%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-17 14:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-17 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%0.6%2026-04-17 14:15
Matchbook1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60%1.2%2026-04-17 14:15
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84%1.8%2026-04-17 14:14
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-04-17 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%5.8%2026-04-17 14:15
Novig1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%6.0%2026-04-17 14:15