مدرسة الاحتمالاتاللغة:العربية
Arthur Fils v Lorenzo Musetti
أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →
نتيجة المباراة
Arthur Fils (المضيف)
التنبؤ 52.43%1.91السعر العادل
EV +0.666%
الأفضلية +0.347%
Kelly +0.723%
النمو +0.005%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.92
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
49.47%53.01%52.70%57.59%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.621.781.771.9261.73%56.16%56.34%52.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
Lorenzo Musetti (الضيف)
التنبؤ 47.57%2.10السعر العادل
EV +4.65%
الأفضلية +2.12%
Kelly +3.88%
النمو +0.180%
بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.20
توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
42.41%46.99%47.30%50.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.991.982.2054.95%50.21%50.63%45.45%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
أسعار شركات المراهنات (40 شركة مراهنات)
لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف ▼ | الهامش | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -15.06%E -9.30%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -10.34%E -6.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.49%E -8.18%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.49%E -8.18%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.103%E -0.049%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.103%E -0.049%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV +0.141%E +0.074%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 14:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 14:12 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.58%E -2.52%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.71%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.71%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.19%E -4.24%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 14:10 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.141%E +0.074%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.14%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.383%E -0.202%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.383%E -0.202%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 14:01 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +0.666%E +0.347%K +0.723%G +0.005% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:11 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -3.53%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:01 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.04%E -5.91%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -13.42%E -7.38%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات
آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.
بورصات المراهنات (7)
| شركة المراهنات | المضيف | الضيف | الهامش ▲ | آخر تحديث |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.8% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |