L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Arthur Fils v Lorenzo Musetti
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Arthur Fils (Local)
Prévision 52.43%1.91cote équitable
EV +0.666%
Avantage +0.347%
Kelly +0.723%
Croissance +0.005%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.47%53.01%52.70%57.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.781.771.9261.73%56.16%56.34%52.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Lorenzo Musetti (Visiteur)
Prévision 47.57%2.10cote équitable
EV +4.65%
Avantage +2.12%
Kelly +3.88%
Croissance +0.180%
avec la cote maximale 2.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.41%46.99%47.30%50.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.991.982.2054.95%50.21%50.63%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Caesars | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -15.06%E -9.30%K -24.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +4.65%E +2.12%K +3.88%G +0.180% | 7.2% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -10.34%E -6.05%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| BetMGM | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.49%E -8.18%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -13.49%E -8.18%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV +2.28%E +1.06%K +1.98%G +0.045% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.103%E -0.049%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -0.103%E -0.049%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.87%E -6.39%K -15.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -12.44%E -7.45%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -2.48%E -1.21%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.63%E -3.13%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.20%E -4.07%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.86%E -2.43%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.03%EV +0.141%E +0.074%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.97%EV -5.34%E -2.68%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 14:11 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -6.76%E -3.45%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-17 14:12 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.58%E -2.52%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.25%E -4.71%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -9.30%E -5.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -7.24%E -3.71%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-17 14:13 |
| DraftKings | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -7.71%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.48%E -1.33%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.71%E -3.98%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:04 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -8.19%E -4.24%K -8.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-17 14:10 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.141%E +0.074%K +0.155%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.14%E -4.79%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| Bet Right | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.383%E -0.202%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.383%E -0.202%K -0.426%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -1.96%E -1.05%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-17 14:01 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -3.00%E -1.62%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -9.62%E -5.06%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV +0.666%E +0.347%K +0.723%G +0.005% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 14:11 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.54%EV -3.53%E -1.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.46%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Neds | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:07 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -10.57%E -5.62%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 14:01 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -4.05%E -2.21%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.04%E -5.91%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.56%EV -6.67%E -3.75%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.44%EV -13.42%E -7.38%K -16.37%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (7)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.40% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| ProphetX | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.16% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.84% | 1.8% | 2026-04-17 14:14 |
| Smarkets | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58% | 2.4% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03% | 5.8% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |
| Novig | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 14:15 |