语言:简体中文
Alex de Minaur v Sebastian Ofner
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Alex de Minaur (主队)
预测 81.76%1.22公平赔率
EV -1.07%
优势 -0.886%
Kelly -5.10%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.21
博彩公司预测分布
78.96%81.77%81.70%83.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.161.2189.29%86.00%86.21%82.64%最小值均值中位数最大值
Sebastian Ofner (客队)
预测 18.24%5.48公平赔率
EV +5.98%
优势 +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
增长率 +0.074%
假设最高赔率为 5.81
博彩公司预测分布
16.52%18.23%18.30%21.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.075.005.8122.22%19.72%20.00%17.21%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Alex de Minaur (主队)：81.76%；Sebastian Ofner (客队)：18.24%。 对于“Sebastian Ofner (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.48。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.81，对应+5.98%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (63 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +5.98%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074% | 4.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.89%E +0.850%K +1.03%G +0.050% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.97%E +0.697%K +0.846%G +0.034% | 5.3% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.28%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000% | 5.48I 18.25%NM 17.72%EV -0.039%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.43%E -7.53%K -70.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.32%E -0.627%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -4.42%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.97%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.88%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-14 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 08:57 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.53%E -2.38%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -13.36%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.09%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.07%E -0.886%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -17.19%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.92%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-14 08:58 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (7)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99% | 0.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21% | 1.1% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20% | 2.9% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91% | 4.7% | 2026-04-14 09:00 |