The School of Odds

Alex de Minaur v Sebastian Ofner

Matchstart: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

63 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Hemma)

Prognos 81.76%1.22rättvist odds
EV -1.07%
Fördel -0.886%
Kelly -5.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.21

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
78.96%81.77%81.70%83.48%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
1.121.161.161.2189.29%86.00%86.21%82.64%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Ofner (Borta)

Prognos 18.24%5.48rättvist odds
EV +5.98%
Fördel +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
Tillväxt +0.074%

med antagandet om högsta odds 5.81

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
16.52%18.23%18.30%21.04%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX
Oddsfördelning
4.505.075.005.8122.22%19.72%20.00%17.21%MINMEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX

Spelbolagsodds (63 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +5.98%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.89%E +0.850%K +1.03%G +0.050%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.97%E +0.697%K +0.846%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.28%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.72%EV -0.039%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.43%E -7.53%K -70.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.32%E -0.627%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -4.42%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 08:59
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.97%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.88%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:57
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.53%E -2.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -13.36%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.09%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.07%E -0.886%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -17.19%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.92%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:58
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (7)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00