Szkoła Kursów

Alex de Minaur v Sebastian Ofner

Początek: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

63 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 81.76%1.22kurs godziwy
EV -1.07%
Przewaga -0.886%
Kelly -5.10%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.21

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
78.96%81.77%81.70%83.48%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.121.161.161.2189.29%86.00%86.21%82.64%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Sebastian Ofner (Goście)

Prognoza 18.24%5.48kurs godziwy
EV +5.98%
Przewaga +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
Wzrost +0.074%

przy maksymalnym kursie 5.81

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
16.52%18.23%18.30%21.04%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.505.075.005.8122.22%19.72%20.00%17.21%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (63 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +5.98%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.89%E +0.850%K +1.03%G +0.050%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.97%E +0.697%K +0.846%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.28%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.72%EV -0.039%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.43%E -7.53%K -70.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.32%E -0.627%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -4.42%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 08:59
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.97%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.88%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:57
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.53%E -2.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -13.36%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.09%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.07%E -0.886%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -17.19%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.92%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:58
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00