Die Wettquotenschule

Alex de Minaur v Sebastian Ofner

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

63 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Alex de Minaur (Heim)

Prognose 81.76%1.22faire Quote
EV -1.07%
Vorteil -0.886%
Kelly -5.10%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.21

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
78.96%81.77%81.70%83.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.121.161.161.2189.29%86.00%86.21%82.64%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Sebastian Ofner (Auswärts)

Prognose 18.24%5.48faire Quote
EV +5.98%
Vorteil +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
Wachstum +0.074%

bei einer Höchstquote von 5.81

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
16.52%18.23%18.30%21.04%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.505.075.005.8122.22%19.72%20.00%17.21%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (63 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +5.98%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.89%E +0.850%K +1.03%G +0.050%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.97%E +0.697%K +0.846%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.28%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.72%EV -0.039%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.43%E -7.53%K -70.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.32%E -0.627%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -4.42%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 08:59
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.97%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.88%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:57
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.53%E -2.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -13.36%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.09%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.07%E -0.886%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -17.19%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.92%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:58
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00