مدرسة الاحتمالات

Alex de Minaur v Sebastian Ofner

البداية: 2026-04-14 09:05 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

63 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Alex de Minaur (المضيف)

التنبؤ 81.76%1.22السعر العادل
EV -1.07%
الأفضلية -0.886%
Kelly -5.10%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.21

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
78.96%81.77%81.70%83.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.121.161.161.2189.29%86.00%86.21%82.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sebastian Ofner (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.24%5.48السعر العادل
EV +5.98%
الأفضلية +1.03%
Kelly +1.24%
النمو +0.074%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.81

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.52%18.23%18.30%21.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.505.075.005.8122.22%19.72%20.00%17.21%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (63 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.48%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.81I 17.21%NM 16.52%EV +5.98%E +1.03%K +1.24%G +0.074%4.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +4.89%E +0.850%K +1.03%G +0.050%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV +3.97%E +0.697%K +0.846%G +0.034%5.3%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (DE)1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Betway1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
BetUS1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Sky Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +0.326%E +0.059%K +0.072%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Pinnacle1.18I 84.75%NM 82.28%EV -3.52%E -2.99%K -19.58%G +0.000%5.48I 18.25%NM 17.72%EV -0.039%E -0.007%K -0.009%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-14 08:59
LowVig.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
BetOnline.ag1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -0.951%E -0.175%K -0.215%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Betclic (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Unibet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -1.50%E -0.277%K -0.341%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -8.43%E -7.53%K -70.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -3.32%E -0.627%K -0.773%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 09:00
BetMGM1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 08:59
Coral1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -4.23%E -0.807%K -0.996%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.75%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.24I 19.08%NM 18.25%EV -4.42%E -0.843%K -1.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 09:00
Fanatics1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 08:59
Marathon Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
ReBet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 08:59
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
NetBet (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.15%EV -7.61%E -6.74%K -58.56%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV -5.15%E -0.990%K -1.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Coolbet1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -6.97%E -1.37%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 08:59
Fliff1.15I 86.96%NM 81.45%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.55%EV -7.88%E -1.56%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 09:00
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 09:00
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 08:59
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Codere (IT)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
theScore Bet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
TAB1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 09:00
Paddy Power1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Neds1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Caesars1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Everygame1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.79%E -5.96%K -48.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -8.79%E -1.76%K -2.20%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:57
NordicBet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betsson1.15I 86.96%NM 81.15%EV -5.98%E -5.20%K -39.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.85%EV -9.71%E -1.96%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-14 09:00
Betr (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 80.56%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.44%EV -11.53%E -2.38%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Grosvenor1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Casumo1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -12.44%E -2.59%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -2.71%E -2.27%K -14.25%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -13.36%E -2.81%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 09:00
LiveScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Virgin Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -14.27%E -3.04%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 09:00
PMU (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -5.16%E -4.45%K -32.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV -16.09%E -3.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-14 09:00
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -1.07%E -0.886%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -17.19%E -3.79%K -4.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -4.34%E -3.71%K -25.54%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -17.92%E -3.98%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 08:58
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (7)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Matchbook1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 09:00
ProphetX1.18I 84.75%NM 83.79%6.10I 16.39%NM 16.21%1.1%2026-04-14 09:00
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 83.80%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.20%2.9%2026-04-14 09:00
Novig1.15I 86.96%NM 83.09%5.65I 17.70%NM 16.91%4.7%2026-04-14 09:00