Language:English
FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
FC Cincinnati (Local)
Prediction 53.17%1.88fair odd
EV +1.02%
Edge +0.536%
Kelly +1.13%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 1.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.55%53.01%53.22%55.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.781.771.9061.35%56.27%56.50%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Jose Earthquakes (Visit)
Prediction 25.16%3.98fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +1.35%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.100%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.51%25.28%25.16%28.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.643.604.2030.77%27.50%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 21.68%4.61fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.546%
Kelly -0.703%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.71%21.72%21.62%23.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.244.254.5025.00%23.58%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: FC Cincinnati (Local): 53.17%; San Jose Earthquakes (Visit): 25.16%; Draw: 21.68%. For San Jose Earthquakes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.66%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.55%E -4.97%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +5.66%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.100% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.42%E -3.65%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -7.49%E -4.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -10.15%E -6.00%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -9.61%E -5.66%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -9.08%E -5.31%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.90%EV -13.34%E -8.18%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -12.21%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -10.68%E -6.36%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -0.576%E -0.308%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV +1.02%E +0.536%K +1.13%G +0.012% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -18.24%E -5.61%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |
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