默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes

开赛时间: 2026-08-02 01:46 UTC

最终结果: FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

FC Cincinnati (主队)

预测 53.17%1.88公平赔率
EV +1.02%
优势 +0.536%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
48.55%53.01%53.22%55.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.631.781.771.9061.35%56.27%56.50%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Jose Earthquakes (客队)

预测 25.16%3.98公平赔率
EV +5.66%
优势 +1.35%
Kelly +1.77%
增长率 +0.100%

假设最高赔率为 4.20

博彩公司预测分布
22.51%25.28%25.16%28.38%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.643.604.2030.77%27.50%27.78%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 21.68%4.61公平赔率
EV -2.46%
优势 -0.546%
Kelly -0.703%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.50

博彩公司预测分布
20.71%21.72%21.62%23.06%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.004.244.254.5025.00%23.58%23.53%22.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:FC Cincinnati (主队):53.17%;San Jose Earthquakes (客队):25.16%;平局:21.68%。 对于“San Jose Earthquakes (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.98。 当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.20,对应+5.66%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.55%E -4.97%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +5.66%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.100%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 01:29
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.42%E -3.65%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -7.49%E -4.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 01:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -10.15%E -6.00%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 00:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:44
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 01:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 01:44
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -9.61%E -5.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 01:45
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -9.08%E -5.31%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 01:44
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:44
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:44
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 01:44
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.90%EV -13.34%E -8.18%K -21.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -12.21%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 01:44
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -10.68%E -6.36%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -0.576%E -0.308%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 01:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 00:54
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 00:54
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:45
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:45
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 01:30
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV +1.02%E +0.536%K +1.13%G +0.012%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -18.24%E -5.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 01:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (6)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%1.9%2026-08-02 00:55
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%2.2%2026-08-02 01:45
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%2.5%2026-08-02 01:40