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FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
FC Cincinnati (Local)
Predicción 53.17%1.88momio equitativo
EV +1.02%
Ventaja +0.536%
Kelly +1.13%
Crecimiento +0.012%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.55%53.01%53.22%55.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.631.781.771.9061.35%56.27%56.50%52.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
San Jose Earthquakes (Visitante)
Predicción 25.16%3.98momio equitativo
EV +5.66%
Ventaja +1.35%
Kelly +1.77%
Crecimiento +0.100%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.51%25.28%25.16%28.38%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.643.604.2030.77%27.50%27.78%23.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 21.68%4.61momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -0.546%
Kelly -0.703%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.71%21.72%21.62%23.06%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.004.244.254.5025.00%23.58%23.53%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: FC Cincinnati (Local): 53.17%; San Jose Earthquakes (Visitante): 25.16%; Empate: 21.68%. Para San Jose Earthquakes (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.98. 7 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.66%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovada🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.55%E -4.97%K -11.88%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +5.66%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.100% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-02 01:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-02 01:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.42%E -3.65%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -7.49%E -4.30%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 00:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -10.15%E -6.00%K -14.70%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-02 01:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -9.61%E -5.66%K -13.74%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -9.08%E -5.31%K -12.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 01:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 53.90%EV -13.34%E -8.18%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -12.21%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -10.68%E -6.36%K -15.70%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -0.576%E -0.308%K -0.662%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-01 10:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.78%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-02 01:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV +1.02%E +0.536%K +1.13%G +0.012% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -18.24%E -5.61%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-02 01:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51% | 1.1% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56% | 1.9% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.48% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75% | 2.2% | 2026-08-02 01:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.92% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69% | 2.5% | 2026-08-02 01:40 |