La escuela de los momios

FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes

2026-08-01 23:30 UTC — MLS

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

FC Cincinnati (Local)

Predicción 48.97%2.04momio equitativo
EV -0.600%
Ventaja -0.296%
Kelly -0.583%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.96%48.96%48.97%50.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.761.891.902.0356.82%52.78%52.63%49.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Jose Earthquakes (Visitante)

Predicción 28.06%3.56momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -0.678%
Kelly -0.951%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.48

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.63%28.17%28.03%29.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.263.273.4834.48%30.69%30.58%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.98%4.35momio equitativo
EV -1.20%
Ventaja -0.279%
Kelly -0.364%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.13%22.87%23.01%24.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.654.004.004.3027.40%24.97%25.00%23.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 46.96%EV -0.600%E -0.296%K -0.583%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.15%EV -8.25%E -2.52%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 23.89%EV -8.32%E -2.09%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 02:54
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 49.04%EV -3.05%E -1.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.90%EV -2.36%E -0.678%K -0.951%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 23.06%EV -3.27%E -0.776%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-26 06:25
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -3.05%E -1.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.24%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 05:19
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.79%EV -3.05%E -1.54%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -6.01%E -1.79%K -2.56%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.96%EV -9.24%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-26 05:19
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -4.03%E -2.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -6.94%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:30
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.57%EV -4.03%E -2.06%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.92%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.51%EV -6.94%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 08:30
Coolbet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -1.20%E -0.279%K -0.364%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 04:00
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.99%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 03:49
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.44%EV -4.52%E -2.32%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.49%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 04:00
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 49.00%EV -5.01%E -2.58%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.88%EV -4.32%E -1.27%K -1.79%G +0.000%4.11I 24.33%NM 23.13%EV -5.57%E -1.35%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 06:25
SportsBet1.92I 52.08%NM 49.30%EV -5.99%E -3.12%K -6.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.01%EV -1.20%E -0.279%K -0.364%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 04:00
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 05:03
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:50
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:50
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:50
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -6.48%E -3.39%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 03:49
PointsBet (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.45%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.60%E -1.35%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.92%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 03:50
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 03:59
Marathon Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.07%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -6.29%E -1.88%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.02%EV -6.94%E -1.71%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 06:19
MyBookie.ag1.90I 52.63%NM 48.62%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.39%EV -9.24%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 04:09
Bet Right1.90I 52.63%NM 48.39%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.42%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 04:00
betfred_uk1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -6.97%E -3.67%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-26 03:59
Betway1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -8.09%E -2.02%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-26 05:05
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 48.46%EV -7.95%E -4.23%K -9.03%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.47%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.07%EV -9.24%E -2.34%K -3.13%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-26 04:05
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 48.62%EV -8.43%E -4.51%K -9.70%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.06%EV -9.09%E -2.81%K -4.06%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-26 04:04
betano_uk1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 03:55
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 49.49%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.81%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -5.80%E -1.41%K -1.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-26 03:53
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:04
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:05
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:05
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 48.72%EV -9.41%E -5.09%K -11.08%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.19%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.11%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-26 05:04
FanDuel1.83I 54.64%NM 50.50%EV -10.39%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -7.41%E -2.25%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.49%EV -1.20%E -0.279%K -0.364%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-26 04:00
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -10.39%E -5.68%K -12.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -13.02%E -4.20%K -6.20%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.78%EV -10.39%E -2.66%K -3.58%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-26 04:00
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 49.30%EV -11.86%E -6.59%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.58%EV -15.83%E -5.28%K -7.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.13%EV -3.50%E -0.833%K -1.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-07-26 06:34
Betclic (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.75%EV -11.86%E -6.59%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.86%EV -11.62%E -3.69%K -5.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.40%EV -13.84%E -3.69%K -5.03%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-26 04:03
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 48.45%EV -11.86%E -6.59%K -14.83%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -14.42%E -4.73%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.95%EV -12.69%E -3.34%K -4.53%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-26 04:04
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 47.87%EV -13.82%E -7.85%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.05%EV -18.63%E -6.42%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 23.08%EV -16.13%E -4.42%K -6.09%G +0.000%18.7%2026-07-26 04:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets1.83I 54.64%NM 48.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.40%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%13.6%2026-07-26 04:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 03:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 03:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-26 03:15