StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Cincinnati v San Jose Earthquakes

Matchstart: 2026-08-02 01:46 UTC

Slutresultat: FC Cincinnati 4–2 San Jose Earthquakes

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

44 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

FC Cincinnati (Hemma)

Prognos 53.17%1.88rättvist odds
EV +1.02%
Fördel +0.536%
Kelly +1.13%
Tillväxt +0.012%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.90

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
48.55%53.01%53.22%55.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.631.781.771.9061.35%56.27%56.50%52.63%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

San Jose Earthquakes (Borta)

Prognos 25.16%3.98rättvist odds
EV +5.66%
Fördel +1.35%
Kelly +1.77%
Tillväxt +0.100%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
22.51%25.28%25.16%28.38%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.253.643.604.2030.77%27.50%27.78%23.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 21.68%4.61rättvist odds
EV -2.46%
Fördel -0.546%
Kelly -0.703%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
20.71%21.72%21.62%23.06%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
4.004.244.254.5025.00%23.58%23.53%22.22%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: FC Cincinnati (Hemma): 53.17%; San Jose Earthquakes (Borta): 25.16%; Oavgjort: 21.68%. För San Jose Earthquakes (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.98. 7 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 4.20, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +5.66%.

Spelbolagsodds (44 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Bovada🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -8.55%E -4.97%K -11.88%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +5.66%E +1.35%K +1.77%G +0.100%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-02 01:34
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 01:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.25%EV -5.36%E -3.01%K -6.87%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV +3.14%E +0.766%K +1.01%G +0.032%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.20%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-02 01:29
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.07%EV -6.42%E -3.65%K -8.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.79%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.13%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 00:50
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.63%EV -7.49%E -4.30%K -10.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.60%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-02 01:45
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 00:50
FanDuel🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.08%EV -10.15%E -6.00%K -14.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.27%EV +0.625%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.65%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 00:45
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.36%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.41%E -1.16%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.90%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 00:45
DraftKings🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.35%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -5.66%E -1.51%K -2.06%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.46%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-02 01:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.94%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.97%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.09%EV -5.71%E -1.31%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-02 01:44
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 01:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 01:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.92%E -1.87%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-02 01:35
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.73%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.57%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.70%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 01:44
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.74%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.29%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.97%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-02 01:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.73%EV -9.61%E -5.66%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.03%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.24%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-02 01:45
Fliff🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.32%EV -9.08%E -5.31%K -12.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.98%EV -8.18%E -2.24%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.71%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-02 01:44
Casumo🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Unibet (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:44
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Bally Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:44
betPARX🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.85%EV -3.77%E -2.08%K -4.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-02 01:45
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 01:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.99%EV -4.30%E -2.39%K -5.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.88%E -1.85%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 01:44
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.74%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:29
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 53.90%EV -13.34%E -8.18%K -21.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -9.44%E -2.62%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.69%EV -12.21%E -3.02%K -4.00%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-02 01:44
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.08%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.95%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-02 01:45
Winamax (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.38%EV -10.68%E -6.36%K -15.70%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.26%EV -10.70%E -3.01%K -4.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.35%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-02 01:45
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.78%EV -0.576%E -0.308%K -0.662%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.13%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -6.79%E -1.58%K -2.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.66%EV -5.89%E -3.33%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -2.46%E -0.546%K -0.703%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.90%EV -6.96%E -3.97%K -9.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.95%E -3.42%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Virgin Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 01:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.99%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -13.21%E -3.83%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.94%EV -11.13%E -2.71%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-02 01:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.90%EV -1.64%E -0.886%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.40%EV -4.63%E -1.05%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 01:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 00:54
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.06%EV -8.02%E -4.64%K -10.99%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -14.47%E -4.26%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.45%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-02 00:54
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:45
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.65%EV -0.044%E -0.024%K -0.050%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -15.73%E -4.69%K -6.69%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.49%EV -10.05%E -2.42%K -3.19%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 01:45
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.24%EV -2.70%E -1.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.89%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 01:30
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.38%EV -3.23%E -1.78%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -16.98%E -5.15%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.83%EV -8.96%E -2.13%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-02 01:30
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV +1.02%E +0.536%K +1.13%G +0.012%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -18.24%E -5.61%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -13.30%E -3.32%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-02 01:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.36%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.13%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.51%1.1%2026-08-02 01:45
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 53.91%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.56%1.9%2026-08-02 00:55
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 53.48%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.78%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.75%2.2%2026-08-02 01:45
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 53.92%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.40%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.69%2.5%2026-08-02 01:40