Language:English
Ukraine v Hungary
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ukraine (Local)
Prediction 35.82%2.79fair odd
EV -2.58%
Edge -0.947%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.15%35.87%35.69%37.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.602.602.7240.00%38.52%38.46%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hungary (Visit)
Prediction 32.84%3.04fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -0.491%
Kelly -0.736%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.64%32.80%32.96%33.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.862.853.0036.36%34.99%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.34%3.19fair odd
EV -2.85%
Edge -0.919%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.27%31.33%31.35%32.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.993.003.1035.09%33.43%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ukraine (Local): 35.82%; Hungary (Visit): 32.84%; Draw: 31.34%. For Hungary (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.00, with an expected value of -1.47%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.61%EV -2.58%E -0.947%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.94%EV -3.44%E -1.17%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.45%EV -3.47%E -1.13%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.63%EV -3.65%E -1.36%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.94%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.43%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-05 11:59 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.59%EV -4.72%E -1.78%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.53%EV -4.43%E -1.52%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.88%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-05 09:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.08%E -1.92%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.09%EV -3.77%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.08%E -1.92%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 13:38 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -5.08%E -1.92%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -5.08%E -1.92%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-05 15:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.39%EV -5.44%E -2.06%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.37%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.25%EV -6.29%E -2.11%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.50%EV -5.80%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.50%EV -5.80%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.50%EV -5.80%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.54%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.59%EV -5.80%E -2.20%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.42%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.99%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-05 13:38 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 36.01%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.45%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 14:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.36%EV -6.16%E -2.35%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.45%EV -9.03%E -3.26%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.19%EV -6.92%E -2.33%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-05 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.56%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.78%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.66%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.48%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.93%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.59%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -3.11%E -1.06%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 12:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-05 14:45 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.41%E -1.88%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-05 15:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-05 12:01 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.59%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.05%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 09:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -9.12%E -3.14%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 10:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -6.87%E -2.64%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.45%EV -9.68%E -3.52%K -5.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-05 13:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.23%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.64%EV -1.47%E -0.491%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.13%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-10-05 13:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -2.85%E -0.919%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.64%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -4.76%E -1.64%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.14%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-05 13:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.03%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.82%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.15%EV -7.55%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-05 11:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -8.66%E -3.40%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-10-05 15:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -10.46%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -6.40%E -2.25%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-10-05 09:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.46%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -5.98%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-05 14:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -10.46%E -4.18%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.04%E -2.87%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-05 09:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 0.5% | 2026-10-05 14:41 |