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Ukraine v Hungary

2026-10-05 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ukraine (Local)

Prediction 42.27%2.37fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -1.21%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.88%42.26%42.48%43.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.202.182.3048.78%45.50%45.87%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hungary (Visit)

Prediction 31.65%3.16fair odd
EV -0.310%
Edge -0.098%
Kelly -0.144%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.54%31.66%31.46%33.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.972.963.1536.36%33.64%33.78%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.09%3.83fair odd
EV +5.39%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +0.095%

assuming max odds 4.04

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.97%26.08%26.06%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.353.503.454.0429.85%28.58%28.99%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Ukraine (Local): 42.27%; Hungary (Visit): 31.65%; Draw: 26.09%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 2 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.04, producing a positive expected value of +5.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.97%EV +5.39%E +1.33%K +1.77%G +0.095%3.3%2026-10-02 11:56
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -6.59%E -2.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -6.96%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.98%EV +4.34%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%4.3%2026-10-02 11:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.22%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -9.17%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 12:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.85%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-02 11:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 11:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -10.39%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.64%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 07:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 07:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.42%EV -8.70%E -4.03%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.95%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.63%EV -10.26%E -2.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 07:39
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.85%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 25.17%1.35I 74.07%NM 33.93%1.12I 89.29%NM 40.90%118.3%2026-10-02 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 25.17%1.35I 74.07%NM 33.93%1.12I 89.29%NM 40.90%118.3%2026-10-02 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.12I 89.29%NM 35.34%1.35I 74.07%NM 29.32%1.12I 89.29%NM 35.34%152.6%2026-10-02 12:25
Arbitrage (44 combinations) +0.02%Coral 2.30 (43.5%) / Unibet 3.15 (31.8%) / 1xBet 4.04 (24.8%)Show all 44 combinations
Ukraine (Local)Hungary (Visit)DrawMargin
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%