StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ukraine v Hungary

2026-10-05 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Direkter Vergleich

31 Wettanbieter (9 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Ukraine (Heim)

Prognose 42.27%2.37faire Quote
EV -2.79%
Vorteil -1.21%
Kelly -2.14%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
40.88%42.26%42.48%43.42%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.052.202.182.3048.78%45.50%45.87%43.48%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Hungary (Auswärts)

Prognose 31.65%3.16faire Quote
EV -0.310%
Vorteil -0.098%
Kelly -0.144%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 3.15

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
29.54%31.66%31.46%33.18%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
2.752.972.963.1536.36%33.64%33.78%31.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Unentschieden

Prognose 26.09%3.83faire Quote
EV +5.39%
Vorteil +1.33%
Kelly +1.77%
Wachstum +0.095%

bei einer Höchstquote von 4.04

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
23.97%26.08%26.06%27.78%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
3.353.503.454.0429.85%28.58%28.99%24.75%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Für Direkter Vergleich schätzt Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) folgende Wahrscheinlichkeiten: Ukraine (Heim): 42.27%; Hungary (Auswärts): 31.65%; Unentschieden: 26.09%. Für Unentschieden entspricht diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 3.83. 2 Wettanbieter bieten Quoten über diesem Wert an; die beste verfügbare Quote beträgt 4.04 und ergibt einen positiven Erwartungswert von +5.39%.

Wettanbieterquoten (31 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschieden ▼MargeAktualisiert
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.97%EV +5.39%E +1.33%K +1.77%G +0.095%3.3%2026-10-02 11:56
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -6.59%E -2.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -6.96%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.98%EV +4.34%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%4.3%2026-10-02 11:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.22%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -9.17%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 12:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.85%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-02 11:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 11:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -10.39%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.64%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 07:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 07:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.42%EV -8.70%E -4.03%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.95%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.63%EV -10.26%E -2.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 07:39
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.85%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (3)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsUnentschiedenMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 26.34%1.50I 66.67%NM 31.96%1.15I 86.96%NM 41.69%108.6%2026-10-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 26.34%1.50I 66.67%NM 31.96%1.15I 86.96%NM 41.69%108.6%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 26.34%1.50I 66.67%NM 31.96%1.15I 86.96%NM 41.69%108.6%2026-10-02 13:05
Arbitrage (44 Kombinationen) +0.02%Coral 2.30 (43.5%) / Unibet 3.15 (31.8%) / 1xBet 4.04 (24.8%)Alle 44 Kombinationen anzeigen
Ukraine (Heim)Hungary (Auswärts)UnentschiedenMarge
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%