Школа коэффициентовodds.school
Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)
+ Новая модельВсе модели

Ukraine v Hungary

2026-10-05 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Победитель встречи

31 букмекерская контора (9 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Ukraine (Хозяева)

Прогноз 42.27%2.37справедливый коэффициент
EV -2.79%
Преимущество -1.21%
Kelly -2.14%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.30

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
40.88%42.26%42.48%43.42%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.052.202.182.3048.78%45.50%45.87%43.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Hungary (Гости)

Прогноз 31.65%3.16справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.310%
Преимущество -0.098%
Kelly -0.144%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.15

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.54%31.66%31.46%33.18%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.972.963.1536.36%33.64%33.78%31.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Ничья

Прогноз 26.09%3.83справедливый коэффициент
EV +5.39%
Преимущество +1.33%
Kelly +1.77%
Рост +0.095%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.04

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.97%26.08%26.06%27.78%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
3.353.503.454.0429.85%28.58%28.99%24.75%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Для рынка «Победитель встречи» модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивает вероятности так: Ukraine (Хозяева): 42.27%; Hungary (Гости): 31.65%; Ничья: 26.09%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствует справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.83. 2 букмекера предлагают коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший доступный коэффициент — 4.04, что даёт положительное математическое ожидание +5.39%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (31 букмекерская контора)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичья ▼МаржаОбновлено
1xBet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.42%EV -5.75%E -2.58%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.61%EV -6.01%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%4.04I 24.75%NM 23.97%EV +5.39%E +1.33%K +1.77%G +0.095%3.3%2026-10-02 11:56
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.40%EV -6.59%E -2.98%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.62%EV -6.96%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.98%EV +4.34%E +1.09%K +1.45%G +0.063%4.3%2026-10-02 11:55
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.22%E -2.84%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-02 11:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -9.17%E -3.20%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-02 12:20
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.88%EV -2.79%E -1.21%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.99%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 12:20
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.47%EV -8.85%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-02 11:55
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -4.90%E -2.18%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-02 11:55
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.47%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.18%EV -12.97%E -4.72%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.35%EV -6.09%E -1.69%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:30
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.72%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.04%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.23%EV -7.40%E -2.08%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -8.70%E -2.49%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-02 07:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.86%EV -10.39%E -4.90%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.64%E -2.25%K -3.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-02 07:38
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.63%EV -11.24%E -5.35%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.41%EV -9.80%E -3.44%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.95%EV -10.00%E -2.90%K -4.08%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-02 07:40
MyBookie.ag🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.42%EV -8.70%E -4.03%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 30.95%EV -6.32%E -2.14%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.63%EV -10.26%E -2.98%K -4.21%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-02 07:39
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.06%E -1.69%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-02 10:20
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.48%EV -7.01%E -3.19%K -5.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.68%EV -8.85%E -3.07%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-02 10:10
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -13.35%E -6.51%K -12.72%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -11.39%E -4.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -11.31%E -3.33%K -4.71%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Casumo🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
BetRivers🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
TABtouch🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Bally Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.68%EV -7.86%E -3.61%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -0.310%E -0.098%K -0.144%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.78%EV -12.61%E -3.76%K -5.37%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-02 07:40
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (3)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 26.34%1.50I 66.67%NM 31.96%1.15I 86.96%NM 41.69%108.6%2026-10-02 13:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 26.34%1.50I 66.67%NM 31.96%1.15I 86.96%NM 41.69%108.6%2026-10-02 13:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 26.34%1.50I 66.67%NM 31.96%1.15I 86.96%NM 41.69%108.6%2026-10-02 13:05
Арбитраж (44 комбинации) +0.02%Coral 2.30 (43.5%) / Unibet 3.15 (31.8%) / 1xBet 4.04 (24.8%)Показать все комбинации (44)
Ukraine (Хозяева)Hungary (Гости)НичьяМаржа
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Coral🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Neds🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Casumo🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)BetRivers🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Unibet (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Virgin Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LiveScore Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)LeoVegas (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)TABtouch🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Svenska Spel🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)ATG (SE)🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 2.30 (43.5%)Bally Bet🎯 3.15 (31.8%)1xBet🎯 4.04 (24.8%)+0.023%