Serbia v Greece

2026-09-24 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

45%

28%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Serbia (Local)

Prediction 44.74%2.24fair odd

EV -3.82%

Edge -1.77%

Kelly -3.32%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

43.81%44.74%44.74%44.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.102.112.102.1547.62%47.30%47.62%46.51%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Greece (Visit)

Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd

EV -6.05%

Edge -1.78%

Kelly -2.52%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

27.63%27.63%27.63%29.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.103.313.353.4032.26%30.21%29.85%29.41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd

EV -4.12%

Edge -1.19%

Kelly -1.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

26.51%27.63%27.63%28.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

3.303.383.403.4730.30%29.55%29.41%28.82%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
betfred_uk	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.82%E -1.77%K -3.32%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-26 19:23
SportsBet	2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -5.16%E -2.43%K -4.61%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -7.43%E -2.22%K -3.16%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-26 19:20
FanDuel	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.05%E -1.78%K -2.52%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-26 19:20
Paddy Power	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.82%E -2.67%K -3.83%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-26 19:25
1xBet	2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -6.05%E -2.88%K -5.50%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.68%EV -14.34%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%	3.47I 28.82%NM 26.51%EV -4.12%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-07-26 14:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.