Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
avec la cote maximale 3.25
avec la cote maximale 2.55
avec la cote maximale 3.45
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Serbia (Local) : 30.56% ; Greece (Visiteur) : 41.14% ; Match nul : 28.30%. Pour Greece (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.43. 4 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.55, soit une espérance positive de +4.90%.
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV +4.90%E +1.92%K +3.16%G +0.155% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV +4.90%E +1.92%K +3.16%G +0.155% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV +0.788%E +0.322%K +0.544%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV +0.788%E +0.322%K +0.544%G +0.004% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%EV -4.65%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 40.23%EV -0.857%E -0.356%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.35%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -1.27%E -0.529%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -1.27%E -0.529%K -0.906%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -15.95%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.85%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -15.95%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.85%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-24 18:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -1.59%E -0.494%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-24 18:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -2.20%E -0.688%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -3.21%E -0.940%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.75%EV -5.87%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.44%EV -5.76%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-24 18:13 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.32%EV -6.62%E -2.91%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.674%E -0.207%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.674%E -0.207%K -0.299%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-24 18:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -2.36%E -0.685%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -2.36%E -0.685%K -0.965%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-24 18:20 |
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42% | 0.5% | 2026-09-24 18:30 |