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預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)
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Serbia v Greece

開賽時間： 2026-09-24 18:47 UTC

最終賽果： Serbia 1–2 Greece

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下，根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始，因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

31 家博彩公司 (9 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率：四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Serbia (主隊)

預測 30.56%3.27公平賠率
EV -0.674%
優勢 -0.207%
Kelly -0.299%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.25

博彩公司預測分布
28.90%30.80%30.54%33.06%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.753.003.003.2536.36%33.33%33.33%30.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Greece (客隊)

預測 41.14%2.43公平賠率
EV +4.90%
優勢 +1.92%
Kelly +3.16%
成長率 +0.155%

假設最高賠率為 2.55

博彩公司預測分布
38.15%40.94%41.27%41.96%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.202.332.352.5545.45%42.85%42.55%39.22%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 28.30%3.53公平賠率
EV -2.36%
優勢 -0.685%
Kelly -0.965%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.45

博彩公司預測分布
26.61%28.26%28.19%29.35%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.283.253.4532.26%30.49%30.77%28.99%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率，四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為：Serbia (主隊)：30.56%；Greece (客隊)：41.14%；和局：28.30%。 對於「Greece (客隊)」，該估計相當於2.43的公平十進位賠率。 當時有4家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率；最佳賠率為2.55，對應+4.90%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (31 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯，也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼和局利潤率更新時間
Svenska Spel🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV +4.90%E +1.92%K +3.16%G +0.155%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 33.06%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.25%EV +4.90%E +1.92%K +3.16%G +0.155%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.69%EV -3.78%E -1.11%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.5%2026-09-24 18:20
Casumo🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV +0.788%E +0.322%K +0.544%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:20
Unibet🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -12.90%E -4.53%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV +0.788%E +0.322%K +0.544%G +0.004%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:20
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.08%EV -4.65%E -1.49%K -2.19%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.23%EV -0.857%E -0.356%K -0.608%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.69%EV -4.35%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-24 18:25
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.65%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -1.27%E -0.529%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-24 18:15
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.36%EV -1.27%E -0.529%K -0.906%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-24 18:20
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-24 18:15
PMU (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.47%EV -14.43%E -5.15%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.20%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-24 18:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -15.95%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.85%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-24 18:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.02%EV -15.95%E -5.80%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.15%EV -2.09%E -0.879%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -10.85%E -3.45%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-24 18:20
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.50%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.87%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-24 18:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.69%EV -2.50%E -1.06%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-24 18:10
Marathon Bet🎯3.22I 31.06%NM 30.09%EV -1.59%E -0.494%K -0.716%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.24%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 28.67%EV -4.35%E -1.29%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-24 18:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:10
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -3.33%E -1.42%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-24 18:10
Pinnacle🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.22%EV -2.20%E -0.688%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.50%EV -4.15%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.28%EV -3.21%E -0.940%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-24 18:30
Suprabets🎯3.08I 32.47%NM 30.75%EV -5.87%E -1.91%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.82%EV -4.56%E -1.97%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.44%EV -5.76%E -1.73%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-24 18:13
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.45%EV -5.38%E -2.34%K -4.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -12.27%E -3.96%K -5.84%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-24 18:30
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.26%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.32%EV -6.62%E -2.91%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-24 18:25
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.674%E -0.207%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 18:30
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -0.674%E -0.207%K -0.299%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.75%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.35%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-24 18:30
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-24 18:30
SportsBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 18:30
Paddy Power🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-24 18:30
TAB🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -5.26%E -1.70%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.44%E -2.95%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-24 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -6.61%E -2.00%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-24 18:30
DraftKings🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -8.31%E -2.77%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -7.44%E -3.31%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.02%E -2.47%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-24 18:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.29%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.75%EV -2.36%E -0.685%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-24 18:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -11.37%E -3.92%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -2.36%E -0.685%K -0.965%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-24 18:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.84%E -3.34%K -5.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.50%E -4.32%K -7.91%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -5.19%E -1.55%K -2.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-24 18:20
利潤率 = 利潤率（超額機率） · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間，因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動，不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司；只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時，才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-09-24 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 30.14%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.42%0.5%2026-09-24 18:30