Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Serbia v Greece

2026-09-24 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Testa a testa

27 bookmaker (6 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Serbia (Casa)

Previsione 43.51%2.30quota equa
EV -1.22%
Vantaggio -0.539%
Kelly -0.963%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.27

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.53%43.58%43.28%45.38%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.132.102.2750.00%46.84%47.62%44.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Greece (Trasferta)

Previsione 28.25%3.54quota equa
EV -1.11%
Vantaggio -0.317%
Kelly -0.444%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.71%28.21%28.44%30.15%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.953.303.303.5033.90%30.33%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 28.23%3.54quota equa
EV -4.01%
Vantaggio -1.18%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.63%28.20%28.29%29.57%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.303.303.4032.26%30.33%30.30%29.41%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Serbia (Casa): 43.51%; Greece (Trasferta): 28.25%; Pareggio: 28.23%. Per Greece (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 3.54. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 3.50, con un valore atteso del -1.11%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (27 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.22%E -0.539%K -0.963%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.59%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-07 04:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 43.11%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 28.36%EV -3.37%E -0.986%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.53%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-07 04:40
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 04:50
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 04:49
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-09 12:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 12:35
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 12:36
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -2.09%E -0.930%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -12.41%E -4.00%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-09 12:35
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.14%EV -5.14%E -2.36%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.16%EV -11.00%E -3.49%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -9.66%E -3.02%K -4.39%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-06 11:04
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 11:00
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.44%E -3.00%K -5.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.76%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 11:30
Suprabets🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 43.12%EV -7.32%E -3.43%K -6.47%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.44%EV -8.74%E -2.71%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.44%EV -8.81%E -2.73%K -3.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-08 07:30
SportsBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.14%EV -7.75%E -3.66%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.35%E -1.60%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.93%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-06 11:00
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -3.94%E -1.16%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -4.01%E -1.18%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-06 10:59
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.76%E -2.05%K -2.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -6.83%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 11:00
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.43%EV -8.62%E -4.11%K -7.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.50%EV -9.59%E -3.00%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.06%EV -8.25%E -2.54%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-06 11:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 42.90%EV -9.49%E -4.56%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.60%EV -11.85%E -3.80%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 28.51%EV -11.63%E -3.72%K -5.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-06 11:05
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -10.36%E -5.03%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.11%E -0.317%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:30
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -10.36%E -5.03%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.11%E -0.317%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:30
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -10.36%E -5.03%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.11%E -0.317%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -10.36%E -5.03%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.11%E -0.317%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -10.36%E -5.03%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.11%E -0.317%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.38%EV -10.36%E -5.03%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -1.11%E -0.317%K -0.444%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-08 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -2.52%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 20:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -2.52%E -0.732%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.74%EV -5.42%E -1.62%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-20 20:24
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 42.84%EV -10.80%E -5.27%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.28%EV -15.24%E -5.08%K -7.62%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.88%EV -11.07%E -3.51%K -5.15%G +0.000%13.9%2026-09-06 11:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.05%EV -12.97%E -6.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -16.65%E -5.64%K -8.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.77%EV -12.48%E -4.03%K -5.94%G +0.000%16.2%2026-09-06 11:06
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.