StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luxembourg v Bulgaria

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Matchresultat

40 spelbolag (12 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Luxembourg (Hemma)

Prognos 47.26%2.12rättvist odds
EV -4.54%
Fördel -2.25%
Kelly -4.45%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.02

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
46.19%47.40%47.25%48.54%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.861.971.962.0253.76%50.74%51.02%49.50%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Bulgaria (Borta)

Prognos 25.03%4.00rättvist odds
EV +0.853%
Fördel +0.212%
Kelly +0.282%
Tillväxt +0.002%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.03

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
23.91%25.15%25.13%26.94%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.303.693.654.0330.30%27.11%27.40%24.81%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.72%3.61rättvist odds
EV -0.222%
Fördel -0.062%
Kelly -0.085%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
25.07%27.45%27.62%29.23%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.123.353.353.6032.05%29.81%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: Luxembourg (Hemma): 47.26%; Bulgaria (Borta): 25.03%; Oavgjort: 27.72%. För Bulgaria (Borta) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 4.00. 1 spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån; bästa tillgängliga odds är 4.03, vilket ger ett positivt väntevärde på +0.853%.

Spelbolagsodds (40 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼OavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.04%EV +0.853%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -2.44%E -0.693%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 18:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.07%EV -0.398%E -0.100%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.53%EV -3.55%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:06
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 12:50
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 18:11
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 12:50
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 19:01
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 12:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.41%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 19:14
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:05
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.19%EV -5.96%E -2.99%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 18:54
Suprabets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 18:52
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:50
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -10.68%E -5.65%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.62%EV -0.776%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -16.16%E -4.83%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -0.222%E -0.062%K -0.085%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.73%EV -12.10%E -6.51%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -17.42%E -5.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 12:50
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (3)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-10-04 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-10-04 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-10-04 19:45