Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luxembourg v Bulgaria

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Testa a testa

40 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Luxembourg (Casa)

Previsione 47.26%2.12quota equa
EV -4.54%
Vantaggio -2.25%
Kelly -4.45%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.02

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.19%47.40%47.25%48.54%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.861.971.962.0253.76%50.74%51.02%49.50%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Bulgaria (Trasferta)

Previsione 25.03%4.00quota equa
EV +0.853%
Vantaggio +0.212%
Kelly +0.282%
Crescita +0.002%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.03

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.91%25.15%25.13%26.94%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.303.693.654.0330.30%27.11%27.40%24.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.72%3.61quota equa
EV -0.222%
Vantaggio -0.062%
Kelly -0.085%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.07%27.45%27.62%29.23%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.123.353.353.6032.05%29.81%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Luxembourg (Casa): 47.26%; Bulgaria (Trasferta): 25.03%; Pareggio: 27.72%. Per Bulgaria (Trasferta), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 4.00. 1 bookmaker offre una quota superiore a tale livello; la migliore quota disponibile è 4.03, con un valore atteso positivo del +0.853%.

Quote dei bookmaker (40 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.04%EV +0.853%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -2.44%E -0.693%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 18:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.07%EV -0.398%E -0.100%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.53%EV -3.55%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:06
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 12:50
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 18:11
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 12:50
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 19:01
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 12:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.41%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 19:14
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:05
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.19%EV -5.96%E -2.99%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 18:54
Suprabets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 18:52
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:50
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -10.68%E -5.65%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.62%EV -0.776%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -16.16%E -4.83%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -0.222%E -0.062%K -0.085%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.73%EV -12.10%E -6.51%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -17.42%E -5.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 12:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (3)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-10-04 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-10-04 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-10-04 19:45