StandaardmodelInterkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Luxembourg v Bulgaria

2026-10-06 18:45 UTC — UEFA Nations League

Wedstrijduitslag

40 wedaanbieders (12 in de analyse )

Geschatte kans op iedere uitslag volgens het model: Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst)

Luxembourg (Thuis)

Prognose 47.26%2.12margevrije odds
EV -4.54%
Voordeel -2.25%
Kelly -4.45%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 2.02

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
46.19%47.40%47.25%48.54%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
1.861.971.962.0253.76%50.74%51.02%49.50%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Bulgaria (Uit)

Prognose 25.03%4.00margevrije odds
EV +0.853%
Voordeel +0.212%
Kelly +0.282%
Groei +0.002%

bij maximale odds 4.03

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
23.91%25.15%25.13%26.94%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.303.693.654.0330.30%27.11%27.40%24.81%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Gelijkspel

Prognose 27.72%3.61margevrije odds
EV -0.222%
Voordeel -0.062%
Kelly -0.085%
Groei +0.000%

bij maximale odds 3.60

Verdeling van de kansschattingen van wedaanbieders
25.07%27.45%27.62%29.23%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.
Verdeling van de odds
3.123.353.353.6032.05%29.81%29.85%27.78%MIN.GEMIDDELDEMEDIAANMAX.

Voor Wedstrijduitslag schat Interkwartielgemiddelde (Gecureerde Lijst) de volgende kansen: Luxembourg (Thuis): 47.26%; Bulgaria (Uit): 25.03%; Gelijkspel: 27.72%. Voor Bulgaria (Uit) komt deze schatting overeen met eerlijke decimale odds van 4.00. 1 wedaanbieder biedt odds boven dat niveau; de beste beschikbare odds zijn 4.03, met een positieve verwachtingswaarde van +0.853%.

Odds van wedaanbieders (40 wedaanbieders)

Wij zijn niet verbonden aan enige wedaanbieder en ontvangen geen vergoeding voor transacties die bij hen worden verricht.

WedaanbiederThuisUit ▼GelijkspelMargeBijgewerkt
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 24.04%EV +0.853%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -2.44%E -0.693%K -0.968%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-04 18:13
Marathon Bet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 24.07%EV -0.398%E -0.100%K -0.134%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.53%EV -3.55%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-10-04 18:06
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-04 12:50
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-04 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 12:50
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 18:05
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 18:11
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 18:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-04 12:50
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 19:01
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-04 19:15
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 18:05
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-04 12:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.41%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-04 19:14
Unibet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Casumo🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
BetRivers🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
Bally Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-04 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-04 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-04 17:05
Bovada🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 46.19%EV -5.96%E -2.99%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-04 18:54
Suprabets🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-04 18:52
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 12:50
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-04 18:15
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 12:50
ReBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-04 18:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -10.68%E -5.65%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.62%EV -0.776%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 18:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-04 12:49
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -16.16%E -4.83%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -0.222%E -0.062%K -0.085%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-04 12:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.73%EV -12.10%E -6.51%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -17.42%E -5.28%K -7.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000%12.6%2026-10-04 12:50
Marge = Marge · I = Impliciete kans · NM = Margevrije kans · EV = Verwachtingswaarde · E = Voordeel · K = Kelly-criterium · G = Groei van het speelkapitaal

Bijgewerkt geeft aan wanneer iedere wedaanbieder zijn odds voor het laatst wijzigde. Een ouder tijdstip betekent dus dat de odds niet zijn bewogen, niet dat ze verouderd zijn. Wedaanbieders die gedurende de laatste ongeveer 15 minuten niet zijn waargenomen, worden normaal uitgesloten; alleen wanneer de gegevensstroom van een volledige markt stilvalt, worden de laatst geregistreerde odds getoond.

Weddenschapsbeurzen (3)

WedaanbiederThuisUitGelijkspelMarge ▲Bijgewerkt
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98%2.1%2026-10-04 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-10-04 19:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89%2.4%2026-10-04 19:45