Idioma:Español
Luxembourg v Bulgaria
Resultado del partido
Luxembourg (Local)
Predicción 47.26%2.12momio equitativo
EV -4.54%
Ventaja -2.25%
Kelly -4.45%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.19%47.40%47.25%48.54%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.861.971.962.0253.76%50.74%51.02%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bulgaria (Visitante)
Predicción 25.03%4.00momio equitativo
EV +0.853%
Ventaja +0.212%
Kelly +0.282%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.03
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.91%25.15%25.13%26.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.693.654.0330.30%27.11%27.40%24.81%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.72%3.61momio equitativo
EV -0.222%
Ventaja -0.062%
Kelly -0.085%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.07%27.45%27.62%29.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.123.353.353.6032.05%29.81%29.85%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Luxembourg (Local): 47.26%; Bulgaria (Visitante): 25.03%; Empate: 27.72%. Para Bulgaria (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 4.00. 1 corredor ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 4.03, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.853%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (40 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.44%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 24.04%EV +0.853%E +0.212%K +0.282%G +0.002% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.52%EV -2.44%E -0.693%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-10-04 18:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.98I 25.13%NM 24.07%EV -0.398%E -0.100%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.53%EV -3.55%E -1.02%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-10-04 18:06 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.60%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.41%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.00%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.90%EV -7.37%E -3.76%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.07%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.03%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -2.40%E -0.615%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.53%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 18:11 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -4.90%E -1.29%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.23%EV -13.53%E -4.34%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 18:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.02%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.60%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-04 19:01 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-04 18:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.43%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.41%EV -6.15%E -1.64%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.16%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.81%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.67%EV -7.41%E -2.00%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.52%EV -11.31%E -3.53%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-04 19:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.37%EV -4.54%E -2.25%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.66%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -7.15%E -2.13%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-04 19:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.06%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -8.66%E -2.37%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.41%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-04 19:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -5.48%E -2.74%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.76%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-04 17:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.19%EV -5.96%E -2.99%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.53%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.28%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-10-04 18:54 |
| Suprabets🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.31%EV -6.43%E -3.25%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.22%EV -9.92%E -3.05%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-10-04 18:52 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.91%E -2.75%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -8.54%E -2.59%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-10-04 18:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.85%E -4.02%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.78%EV -8.32%E -4.29%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.11%EV -1.61%E -0.453%K -0.630%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.54%EV -10.68%E -5.65%K -12.00%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.84%EV -11.16%E -3.14%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 25.62%EV -0.776%E -0.217%K -0.301%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 18:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.55%EV -8.79%E -4.56%K -9.45%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -12.41%E -3.55%K -4.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-04 12:49 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.00%EV -11.15%E -5.93%K -12.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.94%EV -16.16%E -4.83%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.07%EV -0.222%E -0.062%K -0.085%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 47.73%EV -12.10%E -6.51%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.90%EV -17.42%E -5.28%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -2.99%E -0.855%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-10-04 12:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.54% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.48% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.98% | 2.1% | 2026-10-04 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89% | 2.4% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.39% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.72% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.89% | 2.4% | 2026-10-04 19:45 |