Школа коэффициентов

Lyon v Celta Vigo

Начало: 2026-03-19 17:45 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

58 букмекерских контор (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Lyon (Хозяева)

Прогноз 44.26%2.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.406%
Преимущество -0.180%
Kelly -0.325%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.25

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
42.08%44.24%44.29%46.17%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
2.002.122.122.2550.00%47.19%47.17%44.44%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Celta Vigo (Гости)

Прогноз 26.87%3.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +2.12%
Преимущество +0.558%
Kelly +0.757%
Рост +0.016%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.80

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
25.25%26.92%26.82%28.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.303.533.503.8030.30%28.30%28.57%26.32%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 28.86%3.46справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.714%
Преимущество -0.208%
Kelly -0.293%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.44

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
27.33%28.84%28.89%29.86%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.253.253.4432.26%30.76%30.77%29.07%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (58 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼НичьяМаржаОбновлено
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 45.65%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.47%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 45.45%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.36%EV +2.12%E +0.558%K +0.757%G +0.016%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.20%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:29
LowVig.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.95%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV +0.776%E +0.207%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.28%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 17:30
BetOnline.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.95%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.77%EV +0.776%E +0.207%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.28%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 45.29%EV -6.16%E -2.91%K -5.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.61%EV +0.776%E +0.207%K +0.282%G +0.002%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.10%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Parions Sport (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.17%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.25%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-19 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:29
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:29
Bally Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 45.65%EV -8.82%E -4.28%K -8.32%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.93%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-19 17:30
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:30
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:29
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -0.567%E -0.153%K -0.210%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:30
Pinnacle2.17I 46.08%NM 44.60%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.51%EV -1.91%E -0.524%K -0.721%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.89%EV -3.31%E -0.988%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-19 17:40
ReBet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.32%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.71%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.97%EV -4.18%E -1.26%K -1.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-19 17:19
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.47%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.56%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.97%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-19 17:19
BetUS2.15I 46.51%NM 44.27%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.44%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.29%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 44.07%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.65%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -3.25%E -0.904%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:30
Suprabets2.17I 46.08%NM 43.75%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.59%EV -4.06%E -1.14%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-19 17:38
Codere (IT)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.83%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-19 17:19
DraftKings2.15I 46.51%NM 44.11%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.71%EV -4.60%E -1.30%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.18%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Marathon Bet2.17I 46.08%NM 44.50%EV -3.95%E -1.82%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.43%EV -5.40%E -1.54%K -2.14%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.07%EV -0.714%E -0.208%K -0.293%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-19 17:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.82%EV -0.406%E -0.180%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:39
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 42.82%EV -0.406%E -0.180%K -0.325%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.53%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.65%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-19 17:39
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:39
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.13%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-19 17:38
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 44.72%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-19 17:00
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:00
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.52%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.71%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:00
FanDuel2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:00
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:00
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.09%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-19 17:29
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-19 17:28
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.47%E -5.74%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 17:29
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.47%E -5.74%K -11.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -5.94%E -1.70%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-03-19 17:30
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -3.50%E -1.61%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.19%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.78%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-19 17:39
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.11%EV -7.29%E -2.11%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.35%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.79%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.53%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-19 17:40
Sky Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.33%EV -1.87%E -0.550%K -0.778%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-19 17:19
Winamax (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-19 17:40
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -7.05%E -3.36%K -6.41%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Fliff2.05I 48.78%NM 44.37%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -8.63%E -2.54%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.88%EV -9.08%E -2.88%K -4.23%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-19 17:39
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.86%EV -9.97%E -2.98%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -6.20%E -1.91%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -4.75%E -1.44%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-19 17:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:39
TAB2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -2.62%E -1.19%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -10.53%E -3.40%K -5.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-19 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 17:39
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -4.83%E -2.25%K -4.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-19 17:40
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 44.21%EV -9.26%E -4.52%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.46%EV -11.32%E -3.43%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -7.64%E -2.39%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-19 17:39
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.32%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.93%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.69%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.57%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.74%0.4%2026-03-19 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.28I 43.86%NM 43.65%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.16%0.5%2026-03-19 17:39
Smarkets2.30I 43.48%NM 43.13%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.81%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.06%0.8%2026-03-19 17:40
Kalshi2.27I 44.05%NM 43.57%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.70%1.1%2026-03-19 17:40
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95%1.2%2026-03-19 17:40